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weatherguy03 Staff Meteorologist
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New Invest Develops Out In The Central Atlantic.
Posted: (July 29, 2010 10:57 pm)




Tracking Invest 90L In The Central Atlantic!




Bobs Official 2010 Tropical Atlantic Forecast June 2010:
Named Storms: 22
Hurricanes: 10
Major Hurricanes: 6


2010 Tropical Atlantic Numbers:
Named Storms: 2
Hurricanes: 1
Major Hurricanes: 0








Invest 90L Model Runs:





Invest 90L Satellite View:




Wind Shear:




Satellite View GOM:




Satellite View Caribbean:






TCHP Gulf Of Mexico:




TCHP Caribbean Sea:




July Development:







CONGRATS TO CAROLINAGAL FOR WINNING THE HURRICANE CONTEST!!!!


HURRICANE CONTEST!




Comments On This Blog Article
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Correct
Posted: (July 30, 2010 03:02 am) by: weatherguy03

Thats exactly why they move it too far North, its because of the strength! I suspect slower development if it does develop, thus a more WNW track.
 
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Hmm
Posted: (July 30, 2010 12:12 am) by: WeatherNutz

Maybe the gfdl and hwrf strengthen this thing to fast? resulting in a more NW track on those models? i would think development would be slower than those. I think the gfs and euro are the models to watch for track trends.
 
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18Z HWRF
Posted: (July 29, 2010 11:57 pm) by: weatherguy03

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2.cgi?time=2010072918-invest90l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation
 
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WNW
Posted: (July 29, 2010 11:51 pm) by: weatherguy03

Oh yes definitely. But it still needs to break its hold on the ITCZ the next 24 to 48 hours and get some spin going. Not a slam dunk just yet. But conditions arent all that bad out ahead of this Invest, at least until it gets closer to the islands.
 
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18Z GFS
Posted: (July 29, 2010 11:49 pm) by: weatherguy03

18Z GFS..http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/index_slp_mu_loop.shtml>

Fun loop to watch the eventual development of Invest 90L according to the GFS. A long way off, but interesting none the less.
 
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...
Posted: (July 29, 2010 11:33 pm) by: WeatherNutz

Wouldnt the WNW track eventually place 90L out of the ITCZ? The new 18z gfs shows a hurricane making landfall in the carolinas so thats pretty bullish. And the first runs of the HWRF are bullish also, making future colin a hurricane within 5-6 days.
 
 
 
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