Rain Galore Later This Week
Posted: (March 08, 2010 04:47 pm)

OK who ticked off MOM nature this year?  Between her 10 snowstorms and over 80 Inches of snow in some spots..She has now decided to put us on the FLOOD WATCH later this week.  


Above is the WV image from this evening.. The first things that should pop to you is a potent upper level low over north texas with a ton of juice along the southern jet stream to the south.  Note a "tail" like feature going into East Texas.. That appears to be the line of strong storms i mentioned in last night's post that will turn severe as it heads into eastern texas where the best dynamics for severe storms will be met.  
THE LINE WILL PUSH towards Tyler texas and will cause some severe storms esp the further north and East you head outside of Tyler.

Back in the Northeast.. We will watch and wait for this storm to head eastbound.  AS the storm presses on..It will interact with a block over Hudson Bay which will allow the storm to stall out.  This Pattern will allow various shortwaves to rotate around the main center..All the while tapping into the southern jet juice we saw on the Water Vapor Image above.  
The OUTCOME.. Could be very BAD for the Mid Atlantic and Northeast.  With a flow from the south and at times off the atlantic we could see a 3-6" rainfall for many.. with 3" being the ideal number from DE coast to Boston coastline..and inland area's going to 6-9" of rain with orographical lift (marine air pressing from the ESE against the MTNS)


Here's the GFS spin on totals:


SO we will continue to update the forecast..Let you know the rivers to watch out for..and please drop advice about roadways you see that flood under these conditions below..

MikeMasco