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ethan smith
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Student Meteorologist
Recent activities
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Posted a new discussion, Feb and March AnalogsMy GWO analogs keep most of the cold air locked up in the plains and upper midwest for february with a ridge in alaska and troughiness across the nort ...
110 days ago
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Posted a new discussion, Long Range OutlookThe current MJO wave is propagating through phase 8 with negative 200mb velocity anomalies near 120W. As it heads into phase 2 and 3 it will set up a ...
112 days ago
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Replied to the East Coast Snowstorm Possible In late Feb Pattern78yanks, that is correct. I think the majority of the blocking will set up east based for the first half of feb with most fo the storminess staying we
113 days ago
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Replied to the February OutlookI think feb 10-20th is the period that can support an east coast snow storm with ridging to the north and a further SE storm track. More GLC's will be
113 days ago
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Posted a new discussion, February OutlookConflicting signals showing up in the long range pattern. Current GWO in phases 7/8 strongly points towards HP setup between 60 and 30N which lines up ...
113 days ago
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Replied to the Feb first half looks frigid, storminess will followI think before the 9th clippers and light snows will dominate but after the 10th some moderation to the cold will take place as the mean trough shifts
117 days ago
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Posted a new discussion, Feb first half looks frigid, storminess will followThe upcoming period of weather from february first to the 20th looks very interesting. The cold will come first and looks like it will lock in until t ...
117 days ago
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Posted a new discussion, Preliminary Spring 2013 OutlookKey Points: A quick transition to spring is expected in the southeast and along the east coast as an active southeast ridge is in place Th ...
125 days ago
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Posted a new discussion, East Coast Storm Threat Jan 23-27I am watching a potential storm in the 7-12 day period for the eastern seaboard. This threat lines up with the current low pressure bomb in the west p ...
129 days ago
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Posted a new discussion, February Looks StormyAAM has moved into the negative territory with a very negative anomaly centred near 30N. This favours higher heights near alaska and a continuation of ...
130 days ago
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Replied to the Polar Vortex CollapseThe first shot should be directed further NW with the brunt of the cold effecting ontario, quebec, northern new england and the upper midwest.
131 days ago
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Posted a new discussion, Polar Vortex CollapseAfter this weeks january thaw a return to much colder conditions is in store for central and eastern north america as the frigid air in the west makes ...
131 days ago
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Hey RRman96, Between the 16th and 23rd the pattern will become very stormy as a fight between the warmth and cold air occurs. After that the cold may
138 days ago
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Posted a new discussion, Winter Comeback On The WayTheir is some very interesting weather to talk about this morning! First let's take a look at the latest ECMWF forecast for the MJO. Notice the eastwa ...
138 days ago
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Replied to the Stratospheric Warming Event IntensifyingThanks kenny and SgtSnow for the compliments! Snowlover30, different positioning of the PV across north america as well as a -epo pacific ridge should
139 days ago
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Posted a new discussion, Stratospheric Warming Event IntensifyingA major stratospheric warming event is taking place across northeast asia and expanding northeastwards towards the north pole. The most notable warmin ...
139 days ago
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Posted a new discussion, Winter Comeback UpcomingIn the Equatorial Pacific we can see the upwelling of colder then normal SST anomalies from 140w to 90w.This has contributed to the cooling of nino re ...
140 days ago
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Thanks for the kind words!
141 days ago
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