Folks,

Before I wrapped up tonight I had to share with you some long range data.  I'll credit Dave Toleris for pointing this out in This Week's Weather.  He presents a wide array of very good links. 

Check out what they are showing the last week of November to that first week in December. See image 2 below.  The red and grey colors indicate powerful ridging aloft.  Think of high pressure.  Now, take a look at the green colors.  That represents troughs aloft and low pressure at the surface.  If you take a look at the second image, you can see that upper air look is hinting potential coastal storm, perhaps another Nor'easter for the East Coast.  Now, again, not a forecast here, but the type of pattern we are going to see. 

Right now, the AO and NAO are heading toward negative, especially in the ensembles.  Typically, there is a lag time for this to kick in, but just after Thanksgiving is the time that the pattern would start to change and then become more favorable.  Time will tell. 

 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/sweaver/cfs_fcst/