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GFS = Major East Coast Snowstorm
Hey everyone should call the storm off again.....
One northern stream change took place at the beginning of the run, I could see MECS this run back from hour 24. BOOM
Blog started by Mdaniel91 , on 489 days ago
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Lol I'm about to head to bed as well for once I get to sleep at night. I'm 2-3 days if the models keep the storm looking
Like this there will be no sleep.
Like this there will be no sleep.
Blue, I do it all the time.
The GEFS is South and East of the op run but not bad at this point. UKIE is not good, while not the indicator of the Euro it used to be that gives you pause. No use going crazy run to run. I'm off to bed. Marcus, you're on troll patrol, lol.
The GEFS is South and East of the op run but not bad at this point. UKIE is not good, while not the indicator of the Euro it used to be that gives you pause. No use going crazy run to run. I'm off to bed. Marcus, you're on troll patrol, lol.
Marcus, it was a joke from earlier. The NAM ensembles was also a joke from way back two winters ago.
Not getting too excited. Once the 18Z Euro catches on and of course the Nam and its ensembles I'll be more interested.
Mdan, yes to that, but I do not need another October result. I do think we are in the game even where we are, it may take some cold air column dynamics to negate the rain mix issue.
I wouldn't worry about that stuff yet, these big storms have so many dynamics to them it's too hard to predict who sees what still. The idea of a monster coastal storm is all we need at 100+ hours out.
Surface temps in Jersey and south of Philly, we need this to slide a little more East for all to be in snow shield. heaviest precip is while the surface temps are marginal for southern eastern areas, then cold air crashes offshore for .50" of precip in jersey for late accumulations.
Just looked at the 00z euro last night and compared with the 00z GFS. They look very close, that ridge that forms before hour 36 is what gives us this phase.
DGEX earlier now the gfs ooz run, both do not wrap cold air completely until East of Jersey, mixxing from Philly south and it is now a sunday event with this run, done by late Pm afternoon. Yes Im allowed to say rain snow issues because it is presented on this run.
But if the low over the GL could move into a position further to the northeast, it could act as a block.
Its gonna bounce back and forth but the fact that its trended North 3 runs in a row is a good sign. Don't worry about the specifics. Just enjoy the ride.
Yea its still a long shot, but is now in reach. I'm just trying to get the point across to NOT call a storm off this far out. Look what happens in 12 hours...
Not a great run by the GFS interms of continuity. I don't like the idea of seeing a double low feature as I see the maps above. We are missing the high over New England. No point in stating rain versus snow at this time. Its the shifting of the low to this display. Remember, the past runs of the GFS was more suppressed and tonights run shifts is very large. Be careful with this run. Again, ensembles. Refer to those in situations like these. Just some things I'll be looking at.
Anyway, at least the storm is still on the table.
Anyway, at least the storm is still on the table.
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