The GEFS is South and East of the op run but not bad at this point. UKIE is not good, while not the indicator of the Euro it used to be that gives you pause. No use going crazy run to run. I'm off to bed. Marcus, you're on troll patrol, lol.
I wouldn't worry about that stuff yet, these big storms have so many dynamics to them it's too hard to predict who sees what still. The idea of a monster coastal storm is all we need at 100+ hours out.
Surface temps in Jersey and south of Philly, we need this to slide a little more East for all to be in snow shield. heaviest precip is while the surface temps are marginal for southern eastern areas, then cold air crashes offshore for .50" of precip in jersey for late accumulations.
DGEX earlier now the gfs ooz run, both do not wrap cold air completely until East of Jersey, mixxing from Philly south and it is now a sunday event with this run, done by late Pm afternoon. Yes Im allowed to say rain snow issues because it is presented on this run.
Not a great run by the GFS interms of continuity. I don't like the idea of seeing a double low feature as I see the maps above. We are missing the high over New England. No point in stating rain versus snow at this time. Its the shifting of the low to this display. Remember, the past runs of the GFS was more suppressed and tonights run shifts is very large. Be careful with this run. Again, ensembles. Refer to those in situations like these. Just some things I'll be looking at.