It's funny u say thay Rich because I can't really complain because I'm live in Trenton and I got lucky with a few big snowstorms the past couple years. A big example of this was the Post Xmas blizzard in 2010 where the heavy snow bands would hit Trenton and the Deleware river and it was like a wall. No heavy bands made it past the I-95. 12-16 inches in Trenton but Reading,Allentown,and Lancaster less than 4 inches. Just tells me that the track means everything I too hope we get a storm or two this year that had all the correct ingredients to it.
Rob what the HELL just happened on the 0z GFS and Euro, SE ridge wins out in a big way, never really get cold and MJO does a big U turn once it hits octane 6......Fluke run or continue the trend of showing future promise just to never come true
The coastal storms are what bring the heavy hitters and they can never make that turn (Septa bus analogy) just right. Here in Berks county it always seems like: 1. the cold air is in place but they are too far east so Trenton gets dumped on with a sharp cutoff and we get screwed. 2. it's too far inland and it's just a rainy mess that might give us an inch on the back end. 3. It's on target, but lacking moisture/disorganized.
Lets hope for at least one good one this year, that is right on target, with plenty of cold air and moisture, where both the front and back parts of the system deliver as promised!