Looking over some of the models over the past day and throughout the course of the day along with satellites and trends on some pattern indicators; perhaps we see some Tropical Trouble next week.
Here are my thoughts in map form for next week. All of this is just a potential I am not guaranteeing it will happen but we shall see.
Hopefully Levi Cowan one of our Tropical Experts will be on to keep us posted.
Development possible west of Central America moving up into the Bay of Campecce in the Gulf of Mexico:
Source: NOAA Tracking Chart
Western Atlantic or Eastern Gulf of Mexico Potential
Now we shall see about this but one thing is for certain water temps are not an issue as we have seen tropical development already off the Southeast Coast twice now and checking over the temps there are in the 80-85 range coastal Carolina's to Florida; as a matter of fact in the dry Tortuga's water temps are as high as 91 degrees Wow talk about high octane.
Now the question is does the shear relax? With an MJO looking favorable look for the shear to diminish and the potential for tropical development to rise.
An intriguing idea as we head up the East Coast is what happens to the blocking up north? Does blocking actually keep a potential tropical system from going out to sea and up the East Coast or even towards the East Coast past Coastal Carolina? Time will tell.
Remember it is now officially Hurricane Season so as I always say keep alert and be prepared.