Friday will mark the official start to Meteorological Spring, which runs from March - June. Next month our days will grow longer and our sun angle will becoming higher thus making it harder for storms to produce snow. While most are rooting on spring to come the models say not so fast! The pattern going into the next couple of weeks continue to suggest below normal temperatures ahead. The combination of a negative NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) and positive PNA (Pacific North America Oscillation) favor a cold pattern over the east.
If we are inded 3-7* below average for the month and we do see a snow chance the best outcome would be a nightime event. Not only because of the sticking factor but colder nights would be a result of being below normal and last I checked our overnight averages are around 32*..
New jerseys last below mean normal March was 2005..
1984-1992-1993-1996 resulted in colder mean temps for march in recent references..