The 12z GFS has a low along the Midatlantic actually on land hugging the eastern board.
If the teleconnections are a indicator this low could become placed off shore while the trough could become more pronounced and dig colder air south and east taking the track easterly.
The notable thing about the nao is it may not be westerly based enough which could result in the more hugging track and curl the low onto land as is currently being depicted. But the best chances for a storm are when the indicators are all on the move at the same time. It just so happens we have a system lurking along the board while all the indices are wiggling around.
We are 4 plus days out on this and lets observe the trends to see if the cold air works in as this track gets more east, 4 days to go, plenty of time.
Link is the 12z gfs hour 117 Tuesday morning 5:00 am.
As is the jargon around here goes, I will not state a amount or size of any storm until I see the actors begin to respond, we are 4-5 days out but the teleconnectors are signalling to me during this time period.
So 78yanks- Currently, what do you see happening/ POSSIBLY happening for the Boston, NYC, Massachusetts area? I know this is the Philidelphia area blog, but the northeast blog doesn't get much attention here. Would this be a big storm for New England?