AS WE TRANSITION TO MARCH LATE NEXT WEEK, MODELS ARE BEGINING TO PICK UP ON AN EAST COAST SNOW STORM THAT HAS POTENTIAL TO BE THE SNOW STORM WE HAVE ALL BEEN WAITING FOR ESPECIALLY THE FOLKS IN THE PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITIAN AREA. MODELS ARE BEGINING TO AGREE ON DEVELOPING A STORM IN THIS TIME PERIOD, THE QUESTION IS WHERE THE STORM STRENGTHINGS AND TRACKS.
TELECONNECTIONS ARE FINALLY BEGINING TO SHOW FAVORABLE INDICATIONS OF A SIGNIFICANT STORM. MY MODEL OF CHOICE RIGHT NOW IS THE ECMWF, WHICH BRINGS THE LOW UP THE COAST AND REALLY STARTS TO STRENGTHING AND CRANK UP IN NEW ENGLAND. I
F BLOCKING IS PRESENT, THIS COULD REALLY SLOW THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DOWN AND PRODUCE OUR FIRST REAL SNOW STORM OF THE WINTER. AS LONG AS MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SYSTEM ALONG THE COAST, I WOULDNT WORRY ABOUT DETAILS YET. JUST TRY AND STAY POSITIVE BECAUSE WE ARE RUNNING OUT OF CHANCES!
Never really saw much potential this weekend or Tuesday. March 1st still looks to have the best potential. And that's all that matters. "Potential". Teleconnections are there. we just need to sit back and see what happens.
And can we please go 1 storm at a time honestly stop jumping ahead 5-10 days out the one on tuesday was 5-10 days out at one point and was supposed to give us a major storm as we head into march chances are getting slimmer and slimmer after march 1st if it misses which it probably will it is over winter is a bye! Plus euro is the only model pushing for that storm so no hopes up it is the euro gfs probably would have picked up on it by now but it just through it away
What you really want to watch are the upper level lows and where they look to setup b/c that is going to steer the coastal lows. right now the ULL (upper level lows) look to want to park themselves near the great lakes and that is too far east and as a result the coastals are hooking around us too far OTS and up into northern New England. It all depends on where the ridge setups out west that is going to drive the jet streams and the whole pattern as it has basically all winter long. There is huge potential, but as I mentioned before the pac ridging drives everything.