Delaware & Lehigh Valley Weather SNJ DE PA
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12z/7am Snowstorm Euro Model

AS WE TRANSITION TO MARCH LATE NEXT WEEK, MODELS ARE BEGINING TO PICK UP ON AN EAST COAST SNOW STORM THAT HAS POTENTIAL TO BE THE SNOW STORM WE HAVE ALL BEEN WAITING FOR ESPECIALLY THE FOLKS IN THE PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITIAN AREA.  MODELS ARE BEGINING TO AGREE ON DEVELOPING A STORM IN THIS TIME PERIOD, THE QUESTION IS WHERE THE STORM STRENGTHINGS AND TRACKS.

 

TELECONNECTIONS ARE FINALLY BEGINING TO SHOW FAVORABLE INDICATIONS OF A SIGNIFICANT STORM.  MY MODEL OF CHOICE RIGHT NOW IS THE ECMWF, WHICH BRINGS THE LOW UP THE COAST AND REALLY STARTS TO STRENGTHING AND CRANK UP IN NEW ENGLAND.  I

 

F BLOCKING IS  PRESENT, THIS COULD REALLY SLOW THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DOWN AND PRODUCE OUR FIRST REAL SNOW STORM OF THE WINTER. AS LONG AS MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SYSTEM ALONG THE COAST, I WOULDNT WORRY ABOUT DETAILS YET. JUST TRY AND STAY POSITIVE BECAUSE WE ARE RUNNING OUT OF CHANCES!

Blog started by Jaryd More , on 91 days ago
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Jaryd More
GFS looks good at the setup. Surface reflection not so much. Too far out we just need to be patient.
90 days ago
 
Jaryd More
Never really saw much potential this weekend or Tuesday. March 1st still looks to have the best potential. And that's all that matters. "Potential". Teleconnections are there. we just need to sit back and see what happens.
90 days ago
 
Snowfall100
And can we please go 1 storm at a time honestly stop jumping ahead 5-10 days out the one on tuesday was 5-10 days out at one point and was supposed to give us a major storm as we head into march chances are getting slimmer and slimmer after march 1st if it misses which it probably will it is over winter is a bye! Plus euro is the only model pushing for that storm so no hopes up it is the euro gfs probably would have picked up on it by now but it just through it away
90 days ago
 
Snowfall100
If you are talking about the march one I don't see a good chance I mean everything is perfect but for real the tuesday one screws it up on us it just sits in NE dies out and keeps the ridge ots
90 days ago
 
Snowfall100
Which storm jaryd?
90 days ago
 
Jaryd More
Wow 12z euro today still has major hit for New England. Rapid intensification is evident on that run and the block is present. Not far from a good snowstorm in Philly. Still plenty of time!!!!
90 days ago
 
Freeze-mizer
great comment Snowtrain
91 days ago
 
snowtrain
What you really want to watch are the upper level lows and where they look to setup b/c that is going to steer the coastal lows. right now the ULL (upper level lows) look to want to park themselves near the great lakes and that is too far east and as a result the coastals are hooking around us too far OTS and up into northern New England. It all depends on where the ridge setups out west that is going to drive the jet streams and the whole pattern as it has basically all winter long. There is huge potential, but as I mentioned before the pac ridging drives everything.
91 days ago
 
Lee H
What did euro show at 0z? Gfs was horrible
91 days ago
 
98yanks
Need to watch Tuesday.
91 days ago
 
Jaryd More
If this stays around for the next 2-3 days then it will start to get interesting for sure
91 days ago
 
DerrickG
The pattern we are entering is much more predictable.I feel the models are finally coming together with agreement.
91 days ago
 
Heat Island 718
We need to be 72 hrs and less before I peel my eyes on this. This means 2 more 12z models at least if its still there then I will bring out the vizine.
91 days ago
 
Jaryd More
This would be a weekend event most likely. Too early to tell exactly what Boston would get but there is potential for a winter storm
91 days ago
 
nkay
When would this storm occur and would this be a huge storm for the boston area?
91 days ago
 
Swipe
mikey if you are gonna beleive models from 100+ hours out, you should play russian roulette.
91 days ago
 
Mikey B
nope
91 days ago
 
Jaryd More
Even it were to be much stronger in New England the possibility of snow in Philly is still pretty good
91 days ago
 
Mikey B
this is going to be New Englands once again.....the kicks to the nads keep coming
91 days ago
 
Jaryd More
Gfs Ggem n Euro will throw all different solutions at us. Let's just hope we can sneak in a decent event around here
91 days ago
 


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