Delaware & Lehigh Valley Weather SNJ DE PA
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Navy (NOGAPS)

Was just looking at the NOGAPS model and was looking at the placement of the low tomorrow night and it looks like this model is pulling the low west just off the coast enough as it strengthens and moves north.

 

Rob or Mike can you confirm that or am I reading this wrong on the model.

 

Blog started by Ron Bailey , on 95 days ago
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78yanks
Freeze..

That was a great time in my early life during those olympics!

Seems like yesterday, but really 33 years ago, OMG....
95 days ago
 
78yanks
Brian..

Yes that is what i noticed with the trough on the nam run, the 500 mb lines were not as far east and they were tighter which can be a good indication of slowing and lagging westward, the moisture also did not seem well represented.

I am glad you mentioned that about the front not being quick moving, that line looks real juiced up, hope it performs for you !
95 days ago
 
Freeze-mizer
78 - I think that would be a bigger miracle than the 1980 US Hockey team beating the russkies!
95 days ago
 
Brian
78yanks

One thing I do notice with this first piece is how it is having a tough time moving east. Zoom in on radar down near Baltimore and watch how precip moves nne but barely pushes east at all. Could the front set up closer to the coast and help tomorrow?? Bernie Rayno on Accuweather mentioned this earlier. Just a nowcasting observation.

Tea Anyone?? Lets Party!!!
95 days ago
 
78yanks
Brian..

Looks like this is the main event for the weekend unless the atmosphere gets altered, looking forward to tracking another small event ......
95 days ago
 
Brian
This will be fun if it makes it here.....

YORK-LANCASTER-
917 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

...HEAVY SNOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA...

RAIN IS CHANGING TO HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING.
A QUICK 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE OVER MANY AREAS
SOUTH AND EAST OF HARRISBURG BY MIDNIGHT WITH ROADS BECOMING
SLIPPERY. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF BY AROUND MIDNIGHT.

Tea Anyone?? Lets Party!!!
95 days ago
 
78yanks
Freeze..

yeah that is why we can still have a shot since it still is southeast ( hatteras) of us tomorrow night at this time..

95 days ago
 
Freeze-mizer
Well - I think i mentioned it earlier. The nowcasting info wasn't very supportive of any west trend. The trough is just getting pushed too fast W-E.
95 days ago
 
Freeze-mizer
Love the never die attitude 78!

I usually like the NAM to 48 - that's usually - but this winter it really has sucked in general.
95 days ago
 
78yanks
If we are still reaching which I probably will still be doing, hour 27 this is still east of hatteras, nam is still outside 24 hours that is just a reach. This thing really pops and the moisture field does not represent such a bomb as it hits 988 mb well east of jersey.
95 days ago
 
Freeze-mizer
probably right Tim. The tilt is there, but the streak wants to move it all east.

Like I said before... Labrador.
95 days ago
 
Brian
Cold air is rushing in from the west. Check out temps on wundergrounds map. It's around freezing N and W of Baltimore right after precip starts. Not a big deal but at least some snow is flying and heavy in spots!

Tea Anyone?? Lets Party!!!
95 days ago
 
Snowfall100
78 shame it has like 5% chance of hitting us
95 days ago
 
tim riggins
This will miss NYC. NE might miss this run too, its going well east.
95 days ago
 
Freeze-mizer
yup - Looks like a good trend for NE and now it looks like LI gets in the game. Looks like NYC may in play now as well - not big, but something.
95 days ago
 
tim riggins
Im hearing its raining in northeast pa, so idk how its snowing there, but it might. We wont see anything from this.
95 days ago
 
78yanks
Crazy this storm goes from 996mb to a 988 mb in 3 hours this is crazy run....
95 days ago
 
Brian
Good call Tim on February. I think we should all just go away now til next year. We love to torture ourselves.

I'm seeing information that it's snowing heavy just west of Baltimore already. Temp crashed to near freezing not long after precipitation moved in. Ground is real warm though...it was 60 here today!

Tea Anyone?? Lets Party!!!
95 days ago
 
tim riggins
Don't need a cookie, just thought I might add that since I got bashed and hated at for saying that.
95 days ago
 
Terzsnowman57
Yea Freeze I see a slight neg tilt also
OK tim we'll give you a cookie at the end of FEB if your right OK!
95 days ago
 


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