Something that was posted on wxrisk site that he wrote and people should be aware of for future . Talks abouthow the Canadian model may become one of the better models to watch right beyond the Euro in the near future for forcasting storms. GFS falls further behind
Today the Canadians announced a MAJOR upgrade to their model. FIRST they now going to run it 2x a day out to 240 hours. Over the past several years they have not done that with the afternoon or 12 run .
SECOND the model resolution will improve significantly from 33KM to 25KM.
THIRD and the MOST important the entire model is being upgraded to the vastly superior 4DVAR system... just like the one used in the European model.
FOURTH the Canadian Met center review which is been pretty meticulous has showed a major increase the Canadians model accuracy and a significant lowering in its ROOT MEAN ERROR scores.
It will be very interesting to see the next few weeks or months if the Canadian model actually verifies the preliminary testing of significant improvement with the 4DVAR. It would not surprise me if the Canadian model moved into second place behind the European as the most reliable model.... Assuming the initial assessment from the Canadians is correct.