Well, currently we sit here in Media, Delaware County with Cloudy skies now 27 degrees.
The clouds should continue to filter in as the early afternoon wears on and snow should develop later on this evening and into tonight. Looks like a general 1-2" with a few higher spots in a few locations at this point I am not even going to attempt to pinpoint who may pick up say 2.3-2.7" so we will leave it at the general 1-2" event.
It would seem that Mount Holly Agrees with me on the text below from earlier this afternoon in Orange.
Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for Delaware County points east to the Coast!
Source: NOAA
The one thing we will have to watch on the radars are the snow coverage trends. It would appear to me that snowfall coverage on the radar is increasing and I am seeing some extra forcing going on towards the Delaware Valley which may cause the system to slow down a bit and give us increased totals; it is just something for us to watch around here especially the further east and northeast you go from the City of Philadelphia and towards the coast where this storm will get cranking in route to Southeastern New England and the Canadian Maritimes.
Another factor too we are now into February and the sun is getting stronger which can cause some extra heating that may increase some instability perhaps creating heavier snows along temperature gradients that develop due to this heating; again this is just something to watch.
Looking at the radar and comparing it to our system yesterday this particular system looks better put together at its placement compared to yesterday's system which gave up to 8" in South Jersey.
What Can i expect in central Long Island? Will the low intensify close enough to the coast to give NYC/ LI any moderate accumulation? Is 2-4 if this happens reasonable?
A High along the coast supporting a southerly influence
Which also is inflenced by the typical southerly flow Warm Front out ahead of most clipper type systems.
This looks like a frontal passage that is picking up moisture as it migrates Eastward. The area stretches all the way into Tennessse. This lower half of the cloud line actually reaches the gulf.
It's been snowing in State College since 1pm, and ZERO accumulation. Maybe a light dusting at best. I hope to squeeze a back pack blower event out of this clipper. Let's hope the following disturbances will produce more snow....
LOL Marcus I have been watching the high clouds coming in from the west here since 10:30 this morning still no real changes here with partly sunny skies still.
nice... go Rpm... yea the only thing that is a little troubling to me is the fact that it is still sunny here and not too terribly far to our west it is snowing to beat the band in a few locations. I think we may see some mountain problems here with down sloping winds drying this puppy out because there are still pretty brisk wsw winds here.
This storm is very unimpressed on normal radar though Kevin. Mount holy discusses some forcing setting up, but i would like go physically see that on a map and I have no idea where to find mesoscale info on models.
I'd say coating to an inch at best in the Philly metro area at this point. Hope I am wrong.