As you can see - thanks to Nemuel my tech issue has been resolved with the edit toolbar - finally!

And so – first things first – given the seemingly imminent failure of yet another chance for snow – let’s start with some humor.

Referring back to the legendary Johnny Carson and his Carnac the Magnificent role.

What are these pictures?

Answer is at the end.  OK. Onto the Friday event.

Pattern stinks. The end. J/K. Pattern does stink, but maybe, just maybe, things are changing. Some teleconnections are looking better although the NAO seems to be pulling a Nnamdi and just not showing up.

Right now we basically face the dreaded progressive pattern in which systems fly across the country and out to sea, and when cold air does comes down, it results in suppression or shearing. Boo-hoo-hoo.

The chart below shows the basic difference between what we want and what we have at the 500mb level. It’s a general view, so don’t reply with comments of moving the lines! If you do I will track you down, tie you to a chair and make you listen to Barry Manilow singing non-stop Christmas tunes!

And it’s not that simple even with the desired pattern. Lots of things still need to come together and be in the right spot for a good old snowstorm. It’s been years since we’ve seen one……ok, only a couple of years, but it seems like forever!!!

While this week still has to play out – the progressive pattern seems to be leading the solution. We’ll see. No one would be happier than me if I’m wrong.

Still a few days to go and as I said a day or so ago – this one will be a classic nowcast event. In that case – WV will be a key one to watch. Right now it’s ridiculous! I’m sure it’s been like this before, but I've never seen it like this. Don't read anything into it – just an interesting current WV that’s all.

Regardless - i don't see this as a "storm"  but a fast "drive-by" with a hopeful amount of qpf.

So watch the models, but don’t go nuts. Things aren’t stacking up right now. Emphasis on “right now”. Tonight and tomorrow runs are critical. Systems and energy are finally coming on land.

No totals yet from me - tomorrow night for that.

Oh yeah. The Carnac question: Name a chip and a dip. HA!

Cheers!

FM