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Storm track most important
Even with cold air in place warm air aloft could produce sleet or freezing rain.I am not saying this to be a ass but it could very well happened and most cases it does south and east of the city.The new gfs 0z run shows one to four inches, the new nam shows out of the park home run. Another day more runs and more forecasting priceless.
Blog started by JohnG , on 123 days ago
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You really need to stop with this. The storm track is pretty much locked in. 3 days out with placement agreement your giving very false info here.
The 6z gfs is garbage and has OLD data from the 00z gfs which was really wrong. Last nights gfs runs were thrown out by almost every weather outlet in the country.
The 6z gfs is garbage and has OLD data from the 00z gfs which was really wrong. Last nights gfs runs were thrown out by almost every weather outlet in the country.
Guys be very careful when you read these blogs. I can tell by the poor grammer and lack of factual information that this blog was written by RebelG and Mookie which is the same person. Please take these blogs with a grain of salt.
Well said SGT Snow. Its only Tuesday snow will not start till Friday morning .The next four days will be exciting.
I agree. It's just that history goes beyond your narrow two year sample. If that was true we would still be having historic winters after 2009 and 10. I am not fighting with you just questioning your logic beyond well that's what happened the past couple of times. If you had support from a model, the ensembles, the MJO, NAO, the temp profiles, or anything else i would take it into consideration and see how it plays out. Trying to learn and exploring your logic to see the support for your opinion. Even on this one the TV METS and those here see the same thing. I only disagree with you first two comments since I see no support at all for the conclusion you offer in the second comment.
The only thing I am saying is that the storm track is important .Why are you fighting with me why???
Oh so your statements have no support from the current runs from any of the models and are just based upon this winter and maybe last winter. May I suggest grasping at a larger data pool. Just go back to the two winters previous to those and you should arrive at a more reasoned conclusion.
John a southern moving storm means the cold is holding. Southern means the rain snow line moves south. I do not follow your logic. All models have snow as far south as DC.
Lets just say someone will get sleet and freezing rain .Now will that be over the city 45 miles south east of the city or east of the parkway closer to the beaches.
John the NAM is fine. It's at the far reach of its range. It's placement of the low is fine unless your in the middle lower NY area. Even then it has time to adjust.
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