Even with cold air in place warm air aloft could produce sleet or freezing rain.I am not saying this to be a ass but it could very well happened and most cases it does south and east of the city.The new gfs 0z run shows one to four inches, the new nam shows out of the park home run. Another day more runs and more forecasting priceless.
Guys be very careful when you read these blogs. I can tell by the poor grammer and lack of factual information that this blog was written by RebelG and Mookie which is the same person. Please take these blogs with a grain of salt.
I agree. It's just that history goes beyond your narrow two year sample. If that was true we would still be having historic winters after 2009 and 10. I am not fighting with you just questioning your logic beyond well that's what happened the past couple of times. If you had support from a model, the ensembles, the MJO, NAO, the temp profiles, or anything else i would take it into consideration and see how it plays out. Trying to learn and exploring your logic to see the support for your opinion. Even on this one the TV METS and those here see the same thing. I only disagree with you first two comments since I see no support at all for the conclusion you offer in the second comment.
Oh so your statements have no support from the current runs from any of the models and are just based upon this winter and maybe last winter. May I suggest grasping at a larger data pool. Just go back to the two winters previous to those and you should arrive at a more reasoned conclusion.