Good Early Afternoon All,

Blog In Motion:

First some Eye Candy: The DGEX Model ( I don't think this will happen but you never know)

The Orange area down there in Southeastern Pa Chester, Delware, Phiadelphia, Montgomery, and Bucks is 10"+

I will be updating this throughout the day again as I am off from school but still have to get to the Gym since it is my day to go.

12z GFS Just In:

Shows a solid 6" for the 5 county area.>>>> 12z GFS specifically shows 4-8" five county area Wilmington Delware to the Lehigh Valley... 2-4" every where else along the I-295 Corridor ... South Jersey and Central and Southern Delware 1-3" due to mixing issues and rain with a wind coming in off the Atlantic.

Now for our friends in Southern Delaware County, Chester County and near the Delaware River the Rain / Snow Line is very close by... Looks like for our friends along the I-295 corridor opposite side of Commodore Barry Bridge... a swath of 2-4" before a changeover takes place this would also perhaps also be the case in Wilmington.

Points north and west of the Delaware River this is a snowstorm with few mixing problems if any at all noted.

We are in a much better place from a model stand point than we were yesterday.

While the NAO wants to be neutral or positive the Polar Vortex does want to keep this storm moving more towards the east then turn north say towards Cleveland and Syracuse which would be a snow lovers disaster.

Watch the trends today but the Euro and GFS do look similar again and basically the I-295 Corridor on North and West and the Mason Dixon Line PA Maryland line snow looks likely again.

At this time I would say a 3-6" event with the possibility of a 4-8" event is on tap for Friday afternoon and Night January 25th.

At the current timing the heaviest part of the storm with 1" snowfall rates per hour would most likely be between 4-8PM... once again it is fast mover so huge snowfall totals of say 12+ are not expected at this time unless the NAO were to go negative of course which does not appear likely.

The Canadian Model 12z:

 Hour 100:

After this the rain snow line passes the Mason Dixon Line but I still think the Candaian is too far north with that line.

You can post your thoughts below...

P.S. These pop-up ads really need to go and a few of them are inappropriate for younger ears it needs to be cleaned up like fast.

Thanks for Reading

WildWeather

Kevin Reilly

Liveweatherblogs.com