About a week ad a half ago I mentioned that I thought we had a window form the 20th-27th for our first legitimate snowfall and it appears that we may have two snowfalls within that window (granted the clipper will be minor, but compared to 1.1" on the season we could double that).  Still some time to go before Friday, but I am feeling fairly confident the the flakes will be flying.  It won't be a huge storm, but compared to what we've had the last two winters I am sure we'd all be pleased with 2-4 or 3-6 inches.  Beyond that I think the first half of February holds lot's of promise with the MJO heading into phases 8-1-2 and a much improved pacific.  We could get our winter in the next 2-3 weeks so it should be a fun time tracking storms. 

Not sure I am buying the 6z GFS verbatim for Friday, we've seen the GFS do this many many times showing a storm for about 10 runs then losing it OTS so we will see if this is the same fun and games going on.  However the biggest threat would be suppression given the pattern so it's not un-realistic either.