I've been talking about this for a few days and now we're within 48 hours of this possible event. It's pretty cold so it snow or nothing at this point and yeah it's a powder snow. 

A few things will have to happen to get the snow in PA NJ DE MD NY but it's possible if we can get one of the following things to happen:

1. Tap a little Atlantic moisture

2. Impressive Jet Streak over the region

2. Get the storm to feed off the Atlantic and Gulf Stream on the way out

3. This is a long shot...slow down the forward motion and tap the gulf.

SNOW MATH

NAM .18" Philly x 15:1 snow ratio (fluff factor) = 2.7"

GFS .04" Philly x 15:1 snow ratio =    .6"

NAM .15" Allentown x 15:1 snow ratio = 2.2"

GFS .08" Allentown x 15:1 snow ratio= 1.2"

NAM .18" Wilmington x 14:1 snow ratio= 2.7"

GFS .02" Wilmington x 14:1 snow ratio=    .3"

NAM .20" Trenton x 15:1 snow ratio (fluff factor) = 3.0"

GFS .05" Trenton x 15:1 snow ratio =  .7" 

NAM .11" Millville x 14:1 snow ratio = 1.5"

GFS .01" Millville x 14:1 snow ratio= .2"

NAM .11" Atlantic City x 13:1 snow ratio= 1.4"

GFS ." Atlantic City x 13:1 snow ratio=  .2"

 So we have about a 1/2 of snow now on the GFS and 2-3" on the NAM as we enter within 48 hours of the event depending on most locations.

MY THINKING AT THIS POINT...

We are within 48 hours of possible snow so we can actually start watching the radar from the Midwest in the morning.  I'll be watching to see how the clipper (low) rolls through the Midwest. It will have a jet streak with it so we'll see if this can jump start the clipper for a few inches by the time it gets east of Pittsburgh Monday evening.  

This was showing up a few days and now trending back to that I idea I had about 3 days ago so the dynamics are there for this to happen.  Oh on a side note Friday has some big potential...we'll post that in another blog.