The past couple runs, it has continued a shift northwest, excluding the NAM, but Mike talked about the problems with that run.
It would only take a bit more of a shift North and West for this to be a good snow for the Philly Metro Area.
I am not the best at looking at the models compared to the current radar screen, but is the current radar more north, south or right on track to the models. I have seen crazier things happen to these types of storms with 24 hours, when I went from seeing flurries to a snowstorm.
Let's hope these last few model runs can give the snow drought area a good snow to get this winter rolling.
As of now western south jersey is on the fringe of the snow with a chance at 1-2" max. 30-50 mile shift of the deformation band and we see 3-5". Most likely we see 0" though.
Looks like the models are right on track as of right now. Storm is still 24 hours out though... That's all we need is 24 more hours. Hopefully 00z model runs trend north. I highly doubt it though.
Marcus, like the one guy said, this is either going to be a GOOD snow or NOTHING at all. Marcus, can you tell if the radar is north or right on track of the models . And Marcus, most of that wont reach the ground cause of the dry air. a trace at this point, unless something happens with the 00z