The alarms are close to being activated across the Baltimore area as our snow drought potential increases as we move through the month of January. While November was a very chilly month for Baltimore, December provided a warm blast with temperatures running well above their monthly normal values. This has hurt my winter outlook in respect to our normal monthly snow being missed by 4+ inches! We recorded a whopping 1" of snow for the entire month while some outside the metro received more!
I decided to investigate all the seasonal snow totals that featured a lackluster start to their respective winters. Below you will find my raw data starting from 1950 - Today. I believe that data prior to 1950 has many flaws in it so I essentially threw it out!
I appreciate the effort Mike, what do you make of the 45 day cycle of the oscillation trends. We were basically negative since September 16th or so, and we are now since December 16th +/- inclining towards the positve trend. Are you aware of this type of 45 day cycle or is this not yet a proven theory.
Although, I am well aware of our crazy long term Predominantly Negative Nao period from May 2009 - Late Jan 2011...Since then we have had very minor spurts of negatives until this passed September.