I was reading some comments and blogs which triggered a memory from not so far back in time.
Yes, it was only 2 short years ago when we were witnessing this very type of model trend and lack of any substantial systems. We were just coming off of the Dec 19th Blizzard. Following this event, the year ended mild and eventless. We did have some pretty major storms this recent December some indeed did see snow pile up North and West, we just lacked solid arctic air this time around.
That January 2010 had small cold shots, with a period of rain, warmer periods, and outright suppression at times. The blogs were writing off winter much like what is being written these days. But then we had the late January event which dumped snow especially to our southern areas, I recall how this system was going to be supressed and just give us clouds. This was the seguay to the snowiest February since my childhood or more recent years 2003 comes to mind.
Aside from a few January's passed, this month is generally a mundane month weatherwise. I still feel late January/ February will produce around here especially around the Full moon cycles.
Below are a few links from Jan/Feb 2010 from Ac airport history... if it can snow there it was snowing in philly, the south and east people need to see this to help the negatives for now.
Canada, Greenland, Alaska, are all historically cold with deep snowpack. I think this has to play into our overall outcome moving forward.
1996 had rain storms followed by snowstorms as we here in the Norhteast were trapped in a persistent trough. The only way we reach mild 50 degree plus temps this winter is prior to a cold front or with a strong low to our west.
Alicia.. Thanks, I remember 1985 cold outbreak very well. I was in High school and it was too cold to heat the schools and unsafe to be outside so they closed school. That was the coldest Presidential inaugural celebration I believe in History. I even remember California was getting strong coastal storms that winter.
The Bears beat the Patriots in the superbowl and it was freezing cold here in Jersey for that game as the temps dropped near zero. It was a quick cold shot and winter ended shortly afterward (week+/-).
Based on the moisture and storminess December has shown we will have several rounds of storminess yet to come in the heart of winter. The obvious needs are, Arctic air, a offshore storm track or a nice overrunning event. Also Northern stream activities which could bring us small doses of snow, which at this time a lot of us would take ASAP.