Delaware & Lehigh Valley Weather SNJ DE PA
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SNOW Update 8:45pm

Ok so all the madness has started...will it rain ? will it snow ? Is the storm a bust ? The answer is simple...a good portion of you are still getting snow and the battle ground will be lower SNJ and Central DE/MD with this storm.

 

We will see a transfer to the coast and this will allow the storm to roll up from VA Beach to Cape Cod. We could see the temps above 3000 feet drop during the day and gradually work downward to the surface.

Screen Shot 2012-12-28 at 6.52.47 PM

So the temps are falling nicely right now..we need the mid to upper 20s by daybreak to get the snow going to start your Saturday.

radar now

This is the regional radar right now.

radar nat

This is the national view of the storm. We are seeing the SW portion of VA break out in snow at this hour. Plenty of energy and moisture to work with the next 12-18 hours. We really want this to phase or have the northern jet and southern jet meet up before heading off into New England.

PHASING

 COMPUTER MODEL UPDATES TONIGHT


NAM 9:30pm

GFS 10:15pm

CMC 12:00am

EURO 1:30am

MY NEW MAP IS OUT AT 11:00PM TONIGHT.

 

Blog started by rob guarino , on 144 days ago
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Henry P
I've been a reader for a few years but just started posting now. There are those like marcus who tend to be pessimistic and that is there right. Largely that seems to mirror that of tv mets. After that there is some sensible discussion. Then there are those who take long shot bets on every system and hype up better than flava flav (see prior coatings that were spoken of as 7-9"). I guess the point is there is no point and this site offers something for everyone
144 days ago
 
Dave Neville
Marcus is so irritating. He bitches about rain, model hugs and bitches more. Move northwest if you dont like Philly and the rain snow line. Christ, This is not the Marcus bitch fest blogs. It is thoughtful weather analysis and advanced forecasting blog where we all come to learn the weather edge we cant find elsewhere. I normally lurk but I had to post and concur with the other posts.
144 days ago
 
Matt
My opinion is to those people in here that like to complain,and argue about how the forecast is constantly changing, than don't come in here and subject us and yourself to the stress. Weather is not, and never will be an exact science. Go watch the Weather Channel and/or local met's, because Lord knows they are always correct.... I actually learn more from coming in here, than any place else.
144 days ago
 
Blue Blaster
Yes, the GFS is pretty much showing what it forecasted a couple of nights ago - a good bomb off of the NJ coast.
144 days ago
 
Deb
Yanks:

You've been around awhile, and I respect your opinion. thanks for the update.
144 days ago
 
Scootch
00z CMC still has snow North of Mason-Dixon line and West of Philly. But it is getting very dicey with temps.
and the current surface map looks like sh*t:

http://www.intellicast.com/National/Surface/Current.aspx

the track doesn't look East to me at all. In fact it looks like it's coming right at us.
144 days ago
 
WeatherPolice
damn, some of you all need to grow up....it's only weather.
144 days ago
 
DerrickG
25f and still dropping....Just need the precipitation now.
144 days ago
 
Matt
Temp's still falling outside of Reading, in Sinking Spring, temp at my house is 25 degrees, and still going down
144 days ago
 
Kevin
Hello Lauren!! Be nice to us and we will listen to you!!
144 days ago
 
scoopy
shame it was not a tad colder because the radar is lit up like a Christmas tree
144 days ago
 
Lauren
Woooooo! Brutal in here tonight!
144 days ago
 
Kevin
Stop Tim, Let him go and not come back..
144 days ago
 
tim riggins
Marcus, the latest GFS still has the rain snow line SE from us.
144 days ago
 
Marcus wild
Lol. There isn't a single model showing snow for philly south and east yet everyone thinks were getting 3" of snow. Climo wins again. Enjoy the storm north and west folks, I'm done.
144 days ago
 
78yanks
If you take the latest gfs the best snow is from 1- 7 pm..
144 days ago
 
tim riggins
He might be getting a little annoying, but I do see where Marcus is coming from. The models this year have been very very poor. I am too a snow fanatic, so this pisses me off greatly. But it can still be a nice little snow for us. The storm is stronger than some of the 00z models showed according to Mike D. So lets see what happens.
Good Luck to everyone tomorrow with the storm.
144 days ago
 
MacroburstMoses
This storm is looking good...I dont think models are handeling it well...i like the setup heading into tomorrow morning
144 days ago
 
Kevin
Geeze and I thought I was the only one who couldn't take him anymore!!!
144 days ago
 
tim riggins
78yanks, could this storm surprise everyone since it looks stronger than it was modeled off the delmarve for the philly area?
144 days ago
 


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