It's not always about being right but rather giving the best hypothesis as to what will happen this certainly is not an exact science and to change things with 1:57 left in the 4th Quarter down 13 points to the New York Giants with the Season over does not seem to make sense!!! LOL
I think this is a very good analogy ....
This storm for the most part south and east of a line Elkton Md, to Wilmington to about Long Beach Island New Jersey one word YAWN
The models were ugly and the snowfall map south and east of Wilmington will not verify... basically anyone Wilmington SE about Pitman NJ not much in the way of accumulations.
Looks like the northern stream energy is further north to boot too... if the southern stream is stronger it would mean more rain for us....
Right now here in Media where I have a 3.2 spot for snow it maybe more like 1.2" LOL but I am not going to go model run to model run this was my call from last night and I will stick with it, but I see how the totals may be too high.
Did anyone else see the 12z NAM was there feedback error or something cause it shows accumulated snow of 4-6 across the region Looking at the 0z Nam shows off the coast way more then the 12z Nam very interesting the 12z brings the system right off the coast of NJ
nice map Kevin! def going to be some mixing issues near the coast per the norm. With newest info I am thinking that the lollipops in this forecast area may be in North Jersey could see a few 6" + spots around that area as they may cash in on some of the better dynamics as the low deepens off the coast.