Delaware & Lehigh Valley Weather SNJ DE PA
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Final Snow Map!!

Good Afternoon All,

 

 I am staying steady and not changing anythng again with my snowfall map this is really overall a light event.  The max potential really is the 4.5" range..

 

I see no huge changes perhaps the rain snow line even creeps a little further north and west, but that will not make me change my snowfall forecast.

 

 

I am going to keep the map as is from last night perhaps an inch or two is trimmed off here and there but overall changes are not significant enough for me to issue an entirely new map.

 

If only we had just a little blocking we would easily be looking at 10+" right now; oh what could have been.  Hey remember it is only Dec. 29th tomorrow so a 1-3" or 2-4" event is great!!

 

Overall average snowfall at the airport in Philadelphia really is only like 2-4" perhaps even less in any one given year.

 

The years that we have seen measurable snowfall in December did go on to either be normal to above normal snowfall years something to hang your hat on.

 

WildWeather's Snowfall Map Final!

Maps For Weather

 

Source: National Weather Service

Mount Holly's Snowfall Map:

 

Day2Snow

Thanks for Reading

WildWeather

Kevin Reilly

Liveweatherblogs.com

Blog started by Kevin Reilly , on 141 days ago
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Kevin Reilly
Rgem says game on for snow LOL we will really put this model to the test with this storm... NAM cannot be trusted in my opinion.
141 days ago
 
Kevin Reilly
It's not always about being right but rather giving the best hypothesis as to what will happen this certainly is not an exact science and to change things with 1:57 left in the 4th Quarter down 13 points to the New York Giants with the Season over does not seem to make sense!!! LOL

I think this is a very good analogy ....

This storm for the most part south and east of a line Elkton Md, to Wilmington to about Long Beach Island New Jersey one word YAWN
141 days ago
 
Kevin Reilly
The models were ugly and the snowfall map south and east of Wilmington will not verify... basically anyone Wilmington SE about Pitman NJ not much in the way of accumulations.

Looks like the northern stream energy is further north to boot too... if the southern stream is stronger it would mean more rain for us....

Right now here in Media where I have a 3.2 spot for snow it maybe more like 1.2" LOL but I am not going to go model run to model run this was my call from last night and I will stick with it, but I see how the totals may be too high.
141 days ago
 
Snowseeker
i still think that most forecasters are jumping around model to model. which isnt good considering the models arent handling this system well.
141 days ago
 
Marcus wild
Guess it's gonna rain everyone saying rain Philly south east. Another storm missed. Is this really the least snowiest year ever for Philly?
141 days ago
 
DerrickG
I think the heavy bands shifts west by 75-100 miles of your map but all in all looks like a winner
141 days ago
 
Kevin Reilly
I am back but I see nothing at all that screams to me raise the totals as a matter of fact keep them with the snowfall map I have and possibly even bring them down an .5 to an inch most places.
141 days ago
 
Kevin Reilly
Heading out to Christianna Mall see everyone later
141 days ago
 
Kevin Reilly
GFS Looks good at 12z for a general 3-4" snowfall in southeastern PA... see Kevin no need to update my maps... LOL
141 days ago
 
Kevin Reilly
I posted the images from the RGEM
141 days ago
 
Kevin Reilly
The RGEMM looks great for snow Wilmington to Philly north and west...

Thanks Kevin I will update my map by cutting and pasting the old one which was not updated LOL

Im not going to change anything for now... although the RGEMM looks really good to the tune of 3-6" but I will let it ride for now.
141 days ago
 
Kevin
Kevin, Looks like it is time to update your final snow map call from 30 mins ago..... Just wait until the GFS comes out!!!
141 days ago
 
MacroburstMoses
I noticed that too...do you think Philly could see a mix or rain?
141 days ago
 
Kevin Reilly
Yes the NAM at 12z a bit more amped up and also slightly warmer the rain snow line makes a run towards the Delaware River...
141 days ago
 
MacroburstMoses
Bobby the 12z NAM definetely looked more interesting
141 days ago
 
Snowfall100
Did anyone else see the 12z NAM was there feedback error or something cause it shows accumulated snow of 4-6 across the region
Looking at the 0z Nam shows off the coast way more then the 12z Nam very interesting the 12z brings the system right off the coast of NJ
141 days ago
 
snowtrain
nice map Kevin! def going to be some mixing issues near the coast per the norm. With newest info I am thinking that the lollipops in this forecast area may be in North Jersey could see a few 6" + spots around that area as they may cash in on some of the better dynamics as the low deepens off the coast.
141 days ago
 


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