Weekend Snow Update 12:15pm

Delaware & Lehigh Valley Weather SNJ DE PA
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Weekend Snow Update 12:15pm

Good Morning...

The NAM model is rolling in and I like what I see so far if you like SNOW. It went from less than 1" on the oz/7pm run last night to several inches now on this run. We are getting more details on the NAM right now as it come in hot off the presses. This makes this storm now a 70% chance of moving through DC MD DE NJ PA NY and New England.

The track is further south and for snow lovers this is a good one because most will stay away from the dreaded mix or rain this time around. Here is the skinny on this storm as of 9:45am

WHAT: HYBRID NOR'EASTER

WHEN: START SATURDAY 8:00 -11:00 AM START TIME

WHEN: END MIDNIGHT TO 2:00AM SUNDAY

WHERE: DC MD VA DE NJ PA NY LI RI CT MA NH ME

HOW MUCH: AT THIS POINT 2-6" DEPENDS ON LOCATION

JACKPOT: DOVER DE TO HAMMONTON NJ TO NYC-BOSTON

MAJOR CITIES: I-95 PHL DCA BWI NYC TTN ABE EWR BOS PVD

MODELS SCORECARD RIGHT NOW...

NAM JUST IN: 2-3" (12:1 SNOW RATIO) TRENDING UPWARD

GFS LAST NIGHT: 2-4" (11:1 SNOW RATIO) TRENDING UPWARD

CMC LAST NIGHT 1-3" (13:1 SNOW RATIO) TRENDING UPWARD

EURO LAST NIGHT: 4-6" (11:1 SNOW RATIO) TRENDING UPWARD

UKMET LAST NIGHT: 1-3" (13:1 SNOW RATIO) TRENDINGH UPWARD

So lets look and see where the models are going today..

Blog started by rob guarino , on 173 days ago

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SgtSnow

Jeff
EVERY man needs a $1300 snow blower. We never ask for anything so when we finally see something we want we get the best and the biggest. No questions should be asked. It's too much fun throwing snow 40 feet and clearing the entire neighborhood.

173 days ago

Jeff Vitkun

Hey Rob,
So your talking some snow for Long Island???? Will I need to plow or snow blower for this one???? Please say yes!!! I need to show my wife that I needed that $1,300 snow blower....you need to save me on this one Rob...please!!!!!

173 days ago

Charlie

What we need to do is let this event bring us are first snow of this winter, regardless of the amount. This Saturday's event will set us up for what looks like a cold pattern and a much bigger storm between the 3rd - 7th.

173 days ago

Paul Ferguson

Who ever said this was supposed to be a huge storm for our area? This was nothing more than a 1-3 inch type of storm. We are still in December and we do not have heavy amounts of snow in December. We are in a neutral pattern that has the potential to last the entire winter. So that equates to a normal winter around these parts if the other signals ( NAO, AO, PNA) align just right. What is a normal winter around these parts you ask? Some people on here are predicting about 18-26 inches of snow. To me, that sounds perfect. Given the fact we have 2 full months of winter left and most of our snowfall falls in between those 8 weeks beginning after New Year and ending early March, we are right on target for a NORMAL winter around here. So no use getting your panties in a wad because this Saturday’s storm is only going to drop an inch of snow in the area.

We can revisit this thread after President’s Day to see where we are and then begin to bitch and moan that this winter sucked or actually played out as predicted. I have a feeling we will be closer to the predicted amounts for a NORMAL winter around here by the end of this ride.

173 days ago

tim riggins

Models are up and down. I am just done watching models days out, ill check them the night before.

173 days ago

Scootch

Tim...you sure you're not schizophrenic? Manic depressive? Relax, man. It's only Dec 27.

173 days ago

tim riggins

So much for that Euro, getting everyone's hopes up. Such crap, im done with these models and this winter

173 days ago

Marcus wild

Figures I had to wake up to a weaker euro :(.

173 days ago

Brent

Ugh another 1-3" event, this will be the 4th one of that nature this year.

173 days ago

NKuss947

You said that correct Phil. I can remember when 1-3" of snow would be nothing but a passing comment.

173 days ago

Phil

it feels like a 1-3 inch snowfall is a major snow event in this area nowadays

173 days ago

Dominick Mogstad

How. About. MASSACHUSETTS?????

173 days ago

NKuss947

So we're getting hyped up for 1-3" of snow in SE PA? The other weather websites are really downplaying the Saturday storm for the area, but have it blowing up in New England (of course). I also read that the Euro from last night can't be correct because we are in a flat, zonal flow at the present and the NAO is positive. Let's hope the trend is upward.

173 days ago