Good Evening All,

Winter Pattern Setting Up Finally!!

Well, I will start off by saying I have been really really busy with teaching regular 3rd Grade and Graduate School.  Now the Holidays are here and you are stuck with me back at the Helm ready for Winter Weather that may turn Wild....>> WildWeather is back in da House!!

My Outlook for December Temps may be off but the snowfall may be just right or better??  Let's see what happens

December 2012:

Temps:  +1 Degrees Above Normal
Precipitation: Snow total for December: 1-2"

Winter Weather Outlook 2012-2013 Snowfall Totals

Snowfall Generally At or Slightly Above Normal 16-26” for the season as reported at Philadelphia International Airport.

While the NAO hovers near neutral the trends are for it to either stay neutral then go negative by the New Year which is good.

The AO is hovering also around neutral and the trend here is also to go negative by the New Year; again good signs

I think the biggest change is happening in the Pacific though is is excellent for us in the East take a look:

Clearly the PNA is heading positive which often means a Riodge in the West and subsequent Troughing in the East which has not been the case yet this year.  When the PNA is positive usually with a neutral to negative NAO and AO only good things can happen when it comes to Snow!!

Snow Hope for Christmas!!

It's a modest snow hope but none the less it is there for Christmas Morning!  It would be just enough to get things festive around here in the form of a Southern Slider.  This Snow Hope should come into better view the next few days but I can see how we get a little something to the tune of 1-3" come Christmas Morning across the area!!

 Big Promise of Snow Here:

This would be for New Years Day... If it came true a real Mummers Nightmare!! A set up like this would be calling for feet of snow!!  Again this is the Pattern that I am looking for and I know that a lot of our Faithful Snowlovers are looking for!  This storm that was sitting on the 12z GFS would be a Big Deal!!

 THIS JUST IN 18Z GFS SHOWS:

CHRISTMAS SNOW HOPE= 3-6" IN THE MORNING!!

6-10" TO 8-12" FOR THURSDAY 12/27/12!! HERE'S FOR HOPING BUYING IT A BIT MORE THIS GO AROUND WITH A +PNA

The storm on Thursday 12/27/12 has the possibility to be a Miller B type storm where you have a storm head towards the Ohio Valley and then reform off the Virginia or Delaware Capes.  How much cold air is in place ahead of this storm will be the real indicator if this is snow to rain or even ice is in this event??

 While the NAO and AO are important the real important factor will be the emergence of a +PNA which will tap tremendously cold air in Western Canada and Alaska in time.

Snow Hope Video Click Below

Winter Pattern Setting Up!! White Christmas Anyone??

Thanks for Reading

Wildweather

Kevin Reilly

Liveweatherblogs.com

Happy Holidays!