Delaware & Lehigh Valley Weather SNJ DE PA
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Where Is Winter? Patience My Friends!!

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Since late November, I have been pushing the idea that a pattern change would occur, plummeting the east coast into cold and snow by December 14th/15th. We sit here on a Sunday evening scratching our heads and saying .. Well, where is our pattern change?

As I have said all along you could have the best set up on the eastern sea board (negative NAO, strong Arctic Oscillation) yet, as long as the Pacific does not play nice much of that will be wasted.

What is going on in the Pacific now has lead to a very cool western USA while the eastern US states remained warm. Storm after storm has forced a dip in the jet stream known as a "Trough" over the west coast. When you dip the jet stream out west, you force an over abundance of mild pacific air over much of the United States. This has blocked all the arctic air from coming south and east leaving us with above normal temperatures.

I firmly believe that once we open the cold source region up (in red) and transport it south we will not break the cold pattern. There is just too much cold air available and even if it was modified a bit it would still be COLD!

Continue Reading Here: http://www.abc2news.com/dpp/weather/weather_blogs/where-is-winter#ixzz2FGuxWJxZ

Blog started by Mike Masco , on 153 days ago
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Mike Masco
Most people flip flop with the models.. that is not forecasting that is .. UMM I honestly don't know what that is!
152 days ago
 
Alicia Smith
I cant take people seriously when they say "you need to wait till 3 days out to get and accurate forecast and long range forecasts are bogus"

then turn around and say that the whole winter is going to be warm and below average snow for the whole winter

Well, you cant have it both ways. Either you trust long range forecasts or you don't. Because the two staements just posed contradict eachother

Stay optomistic people! Winter hasnt even officially started yet and december was always forecasted to be warmer than average. Keep hope alive :)
152 days ago
 
Victor C
Everyone wants snow like we had two and three years ago. Like Rob said, they were winters on snow crack!!
152 days ago
 
Marcus wild
Going to agree with whiteout here. For the next 15 days.. Yet gain negative PNA, warm on the east coast storm track through the lakes. Nothing is going to change until at least after New Years after this point.. And dec 1st it was gonna change dec 15, see what I'm getting at here? Enough cold weather outlooks. They haven't been right in over 2 years. We need to stick to 2-3 day forecasts right now because no one forecasting winter for the east coast has been right.

Lets face it our winters are in a warm phase right now. Below average snow above average temps will happen yet again this year.
153 days ago
 
Phillywhiteout
Actually, meteorological winter starts on December 1st and that is what I go by. The pattern still looks terrible. When is the last time that we had a terrible December and actually ended up having a good winter? I can't remember many...that's for sure!
153 days ago
 
Victor C
HEY we are not even in Winter yet! Last time I checked it starts on Friday. I don't know why everyone is buggin' out. Relax max.
153 days ago
 
Phillywhiteout
Hmmmm....patience since the beginning of LAST WINTER. Sorry, but all I see is lake cutters on the GFS through the end of the year. Based on the PNA staying negative, I believe that will be the correct solution.
153 days ago
 
Snow
Tim, every blog I see you asking the same thing. Just relax man. It's days away yet for the storm you're talking about. Once we get closer you will know for sure
153 days ago
 
tim riggins
Do you think the 95 corridor from DC to NYC will see snow before New Years? I heard about a potential big snow from the 26-28th.
153 days ago
 
Alicia Smith
This seems to be pretty accurate. Temperatures where i live are going to be mild until thrursday then crash after that. Also maybe a snowstorm after christmas?

Dn't worry folks, the cold is coming for the east coast :)
153 days ago
 


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