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Summer Outlook 2013 Rob Guarino Update May 21, 2013
We are now into mid May and yeah it's was a slow start to spring for some in the Midwest and East but it's never to early to think BBQ's fun at the pool or lake or that drive to the beach. So I've looked ahead and we're most likely hanging into a neutral pattern or the start of a weak La Nina.
AVERAGE NUMBER OF 90 DEGREE DAYS
NORTHEAST & MID ATLANTIC REGION
NEW YORK CITY SUMMER OUTLOOK ROANOKE VA SUMMER OUTLOOK
BOSTON SUMMER OUTLOOK PHILADELPHIA SUMMER OUTLOOK
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PROVIDENCE SUMMER OUTLOOK PORTLAND MAINE SUMMER OUTLOOK
MIDWEST REGION
CHICAGO SUMMER OUTLOOK MINNEAPOLIS SUMMER OUTLOOK
DETROIT SUMMER OUTLOOK ST. LOUIS SUMMER OUTLOOK
CLEVELAND SUMMER OUTLOOK KANSAS CITY SUMMER OUTLOOK
INDIANAPOLIS SUMMER OUTLOOK COLUMBUS OHIO SUMMER OUTLOOK
CINCINNATI SUMMER OUTLOOK OKLAHOMA CITY SUMMER OUTLOOK
MILWAUKEE SUMMER OUTLOOK GREEN BAY SUMMER OUTLOOK
WESTERN USA AND WEST COAST REGION
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PORTLAND OREGON SUMMER SACRAMENTO SUMMER OUTLOOK
LAS VEGAS SUMMER OUTLOOK SAN JOSE SANTA CLARA SUMMER OUTLOOK
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SOUTH & SOUTHEAST REGION
MIAMI-FT LAUDERDALE SUMMER ORLANDO SUMMER OUTLOOK
TAMPA SUMMER OUTLOOK JACKSONVILLE SUMMER OUTLOOK
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AUSTIN SUMMER OUTLOOK MEMPHIS SUMMER OUTLOOK
VIRGINIA BEACH VA SUMMER NASHVILLE-DAVIDSON SUMMER OUTLOOK
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MOBILE-PENSACOLA SUMMER ATLANTA SUMMER OUTLOOK
LOUISVILLE KY SUMMER OUTLOOK NEW ORLEANS SUMMER OUTLOOK
BIRMINGHAM SUMMER OUTLOOK LITTLE ROCK SUMMER OUTLOOK
ALASKA & HAWAII REGION
HONOLULU HAWAII SUMMER OUTLOOK FAIRBANKS SUMMER OUTLOOK
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On the other hand, I found a analog for Chicago. Spring 1947 was quite cool here, with April being the wettest on record (up until yesterday, where the record was beaten). May was cool, June was extremely cool (7th coolest June, and 8th coolest July in terms of average high temperature), but a steamy August (actually hottest on record). September and especially October were warmer than average. Seems that there are some parallels so far this year (Spring). I certainly hope for a warmer May-July period than in 1947! I love my heat. Last summer was PERFECT.
The winter outlook hit in some places and missed in others. Syracuse ended with 115" and we had over 40 cities with more than 50" of snow. I think the Philly area to DC had some problems but New England and the Midwest worked out well in many places.
The summer outlook is a bit easier because so many focus on that snowfall number vs temps in the summer. We see another hot summer simply due to a neutral pattern. Like any outlook they are just that an outlook. No offense taken Paul I like comments good or bad.
If rains only stick around the Midwest for a couple of weeks this April, then yes, the impact might not be much for the summer. However, if we get some healthy rains in May as well, then summer temps could be effected.
I don't want this to sound like a "knock" because it's not meant to be. But since the Winter Outlook was what I would consider to be a bust, not just here but by most of the meteorologists. How much stock should we put into the Summer Outlook, or any long range outlook? Again, this is not intended to be a 'slam', if it was I wouldn't even be a member here.
Thanks
Lots of rain predicted in the Central US the next two weeks, I'm willing to bet that this will have an impact on summer temps for our region....
What a difference a year makes. Spring will make a comeback and summer too...it just may be slow
I think summer comes in May in many places as the pattern turns around mid spring.
baby steps first
It could but Louisiana is gonna have the humidity regardless of the pattern...you are just too close to all that water and the hotter than normal Gulf of Mexico this summer. Sorry for the bad news
You think this could result in lower humidity for my Louisiana area
In your outlook?
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