As summer comes to a close and fall weather ushers in the changing of leaves, this year's most vibrant display of foliage will occur across the mid-Atlantic. Meanwhile, surrounding regions may be hindered by flooding rain and unseasonable temperatures.
"Most important is really what happens at the end of September and beginning of October into the middle of October. That's really the crucial period," according to Dr. Marc Abrams, professor of Forest Ecology and Physiology at Penn State University.
Abrams began observing how weather conditions affect fall foliage more than 25 years ago.
The AccuWeather.com 2013 Fall Forecast predicts near-normal temperatures and precipitation for the mid-Atlantic region, allowing bright, colorful leaves. We at Liveweatherblogs.com agree with the accu forecast so if you are looking for a nice fall so far the east is on track.
Meanwhile, those farther north may be somewhat disappointed. The Northeast is forecast to remain warmer than normal this fall.
Through September and October, temperatures will average 2 to 3 degrees above normal in upstate New York and New England, Lead Long-Range Forecaster for AccuWeather.com Paul Pastelok said.
Cold isn't anticipated to return until some time in November.
"That's going to be problematic. It's going to delay the peak coloration, and normally when we have warm falls the peak coloration is not the best," Abrams said. "Those cold temperatures are really, really important late September, early October."
Is it going to continue to be wet in VA? Continued flooding is going to ruin our foliage. You want seasonably cool temperatures and sunshine for maximum color but i think its going to be awfully wet this fall. How is Sept and Oct looking? I hope its cool and drier