Hey Rob, Last storm for Long Island gave us about 5" of snow then around 60-65 degree weather after that. Stiil picking up the pieces after that hurricane here on the south shore of the Island. CRAZY!! Do you think were looking at good storms rain/snow coming our way soon?? Thanks, Jeff.
hey rob, I was wondering when you would expect to see lake effect start kicking into gear? I live east of lake ontario and normally by now we would start to have lake effect events. and from what iv see none of the great lakes have produced much snow yet.
Just saw this morning, the new ensemble forecasts for the AO, NAO, and PNA..
For the AO and NAO, ensembles are showing them heading back to negativve.
Even the PNA, the ensembles show it gradually climbing to neutral.
As you have been laying out the discussion on the potential for more coastal storms, even the Climate Prediction Center analog years, do show in the 8 to 14 day or the timeframe your are referring to where it does show the 500mb anomaly height falls just off the Southeast US coastline. Plus, you have ridging popping up over the Great Lakes and just southeast of Greenland.
he is right...-NAO is a blocking pattern in Greenland and this means colder than normal temps for you and an increased risk of storms....some even snow after December 1st. You don't need el nino if you have a -NAO...that can make storm too. Too many this year focused on El Nino and that is only one factor that makes up winter. Glad to have you on here
Rob - I live 25 miles west of Charlotte & we have been quite a few degrees colder than we should be for this time of year. Our weather forecaster has said that the High pressure system up around Greenland will be blocking the jet stream and will be producing low pressure systems to ride along it producing storms off and on for the next month or more. Do you see that being a persistent pattern also and if so do you think that will develop into any snow for my area? What is happening with El Nino?? Is it still developing or what? Thanks for your help