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November 2012 Outlook (Update November 6)
WATCH FOR A NOVEMBER SURPRISE SNOW STORM
IN THE MIDWEST AND EAST COAST EARLY & LATE MONTH.
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Blog started by rob guarino , on 190 days ago
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Hey Rob,
Last storm for Long Island gave us about 5" of snow then around 60-65 degree weather after that. Stiil picking up the pieces after that hurricane here on the south shore of the Island. CRAZY!! Do you think were looking at good storms rain/snow coming our way soon?? Thanks, Jeff.
Last storm for Long Island gave us about 5" of snow then around 60-65 degree weather after that. Stiil picking up the pieces after that hurricane here on the south shore of the Island. CRAZY!! Do you think were looking at good storms rain/snow coming our way soon?? Thanks, Jeff.
this next nor'easter next week could be a lake event for ya. I lived in SYR for 4 years.
hey rob, I was wondering when you would expect to see lake effect start kicking into gear? I live east of lake ontario and normally by now we would start to have lake effect events. and from what iv see none of the great lakes have produced much snow yet.
Yo Rob...
Just saw this morning, the new ensemble forecasts for the AO, NAO, and PNA..
For the AO and NAO, ensembles are showing them heading back to negativve.
Even the PNA, the ensembles show it gradually climbing to neutral.
As you have been laying out the discussion on the potential for more coastal storms, even the Climate Prediction Center analog years, do show in the 8 to 14 day or the timeframe your are referring to where it does show the 500mb anomaly height falls just off the Southeast US coastline. Plus, you have ridging popping up over the Great Lakes and just southeast of Greenland.
So, this does bear watching.
Just saw this morning, the new ensemble forecasts for the AO, NAO, and PNA..
For the AO and NAO, ensembles are showing them heading back to negativve.
Even the PNA, the ensembles show it gradually climbing to neutral.
As you have been laying out the discussion on the potential for more coastal storms, even the Climate Prediction Center analog years, do show in the 8 to 14 day or the timeframe your are referring to where it does show the 500mb anomaly height falls just off the Southeast US coastline. Plus, you have ridging popping up over the Great Lakes and just southeast of Greenland.
So, this does bear watching.
right now...ok Marilyn. We are watching something that could bring rain and or snow on Sunday Nov 25 but it's still not for sure just yet
Haley right now... we have to watch from NC mtns and up the East coast for a storm but the pattern does show a few moving across the country.
We are driving from St. Louis to Chattanooga Tennessee around Thanksgiving. It sounds as though we may encounter a snow at that time?
U say that around Thanksgiving through the end of November, the Midwest East Coast could see a Surprise Snow Storm...does this possibly include Central North Carolina?
I live in Durham, NC and I really never know what Weather men mean when they say East Coast Snow Storms and how far inland these Storms will go.
I live in Durham, NC and I really never know what Weather men mean when they say East Coast Snow Storms and how far inland these Storms will go.
Joe Bastardi made one of his rare appearances on FOX..
He said the El Nino that was supposed to form- hasn't
This would have indicated a snowy winter for NYC-NJ
Now he says ' Anything goes '
For a cold weather lover- last winter was a misery
GG
He said the El Nino that was supposed to form- hasn't
This would have indicated a snowy winter for NYC-NJ
Now he says ' Anything goes '
For a cold weather lover- last winter was a misery
GG
he is right...-NAO is a blocking pattern in Greenland and this means colder than normal temps for you and an increased risk of storms....some even snow after December 1st. You don't need el nino if you have a -NAO...that can make storm too. Too many this year focused on El Nino and that is only one factor that makes up winter. Glad to have you on here
Rob - I live 25 miles west of Charlotte & we have been quite a few degrees colder than we should be for this time of year. Our weather forecaster has said that the High pressure system up around Greenland will be blocking the jet stream and will be producing low pressure systems to ride along it producing storms off and on for the next month or more. Do you see that being a persistent pattern also and if so do you think that will develop into any snow for my area? What is happening with El Nino?? Is it still developing or what? Thanks for your help
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