comparing this upcoming winter to winter's in the past)
Most of the years we have a red dot next to show avg. to above avg. snowfall.
The 3 that stick out our the following:
1994-95 This winter featured a positive NAO which led to below average snowfall. The culprit was the rapidly rising QBO values topping off around 8-9. Although the current WBO values closely resemble those from September in 94 we don't believe a rapid rise to such high values is likely. But as history tells us it is not impossible either.
2006-07 Everything was perfect but the EPO this winter was positive resulting in a rather boring snowfall season.
2009-10 NAO was too negative with the storm track to the south, while the Mid Atlantic became the new snow belt of the US Albany saw a underachieving snowfall season.
We do not expect the NAO to stay severely negative for a long duration so we will follow the general average of the analogs above resulting in an
above average snowfall season.
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