So we all remember Sandy...some of you remember the two winter storms in November that blasted parts of PA and NJ with 13" of snow. If the parameters line up just right we'll get the negative tilt of a storm we have not seen since the Blizzard in New England and have not seen at all in the PA NJ MD DC area all winter (last 2 years to be precise).
This is NOT A FORECAST but more of an outlook for a week from now. I like the Euro trends but want to see the GFS get a bit more on board. The blocking is there.,...the NAO and AO are staying oh yeah but we have still a few things to work on before you and I get all excited.
WHEN: WED NIGHT TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON
WHAT: SLOW NOR'EASTER OFF BLOCKING PATTERN
WHERE: DC NORTH TO BOSTON MA
ODDS RIGHT NOW: 3:1 for Philadelphia....4:1 Baltimore...NYC 5:1
Ronda and Jeff, anyone would be a fool to hypothesize the location of a rain/snow line at this point. I will say this though, if this system is close enough that it is a hecs, then it would be a battle between dynamic cooling and onshore winds (the dynamic cooling winning the battle for most), however if the system tracked in such a manner that the winds kept a more northerly component to them, that and the dynamic cooling would help greatly, it will be fun to forecast regardless of the outcome, though I know that I'm not the only one that want's to see a hecs or even a mecs (let's face it I'd be happy with anything hahaha). P.S. Jeff, I lived in Suffolk county for many years and I can tell you that there, you'd probably be alright, most definitely far better off than southeast coastal NJ.
So what about for me in Lynchburg, VA? I really want one more good snow before spring comes. Yes, im ready for spring. definitely! but im still holding on to hope it can still snow. The weatherman said the potential is there for us to experience the heaviest snowfall of this winter next week. Then after that mid-late March can come out like a lamb :)
Hey at least it is something to view and hope about. Hard to believe based on past history this winter, but you need to figure that it has to happen at some pt. They can't all be misses - can they?????