The Winter Buzz ! (Factors, Winter 101)
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Feb 20-22 Feb 26-28 Snow Chances

So I'm taking a quick look ahead and oh yeah we have two periods in later February that bring a chance of snow along the East Coast.    

 

The GFS The Canadian The EURO all shows flashes of storms and some could be significant.  The models have had a good run at times but also some pretty ugly guidance runs this winter.

 

            Screen Shot 2013-02-15 at 11.35.04 AM  Screen Shot 2013-02-15 at 11.37.10 AM Screen Shot 2013-02-15 at 11.38.26 AM

                    Canadian                         GFS                            NOGAPS

Blog started by rob guarino , on 97 days ago
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rob guarino
Charles,,,, Russia got hit we can too LOL
97 days ago
 
Mark A
The snow doesnt like anyone on this blog so thats why there is barely any. DC to Philly screwover zone. Enjoying 18.8 inches for the season in NYC with 1 storm to bump to average. HA
97 days ago
 
SgtSnow
Charles it’s better to keep your mouth shut and have people suspect you're a fool rather than to open it and prove them right. Rob did not say we would get a nor'easte between the 14-22. He said the set up was more favorable and could lead to one. No promise. I've been following Rob and the other pro mets here for many years. No Met promises a storm especially far out. If Rob and others are so bad as to require you to call them out I'm sure your wisdom could lead you to another site that matches your intellect better. The sooner you go the better.
97 days ago
 
MacroburstMoses
0z runs are not gonna change
97 days ago
 
Snowfall100
Yeah honestly charles just leave where actually want your input you are rude and ignorant
97 days ago
 
Lee
Charles, you do realize you can post more than 2 or 3 sentences in each post right? Go troll elsewhere.
97 days ago
 
Charles
Rob you said that we would get a nor'easter between the 14-22 and we didn't yet and I guarantee we won't!
97 days ago
 
Charles
We have a better chance of a meteor hit our area than a snowstorm!
97 days ago
 
Charles
Have hope for next year!!! THERE IS ALWAYS NEXT YEAR!!!
97 days ago
 
Charles
Like I said a while back winter is over for Philadelphia! No significant snow storms for us! Don't deny it either!!!
97 days ago
 
Dominick Mogstad
http://204.2.104.196/gfs/WINTER_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR.gif

Shows a posible TWENTY INCHES for Boston!!!!
However, this is only one model run which is days and days away, so take it with a grain of salt :)
97 days ago
 
Snowfall100
Hmm, radar is lit up south of pittsburgh not surprised but it's going to be chewed up over the mountains. Already starting to see some precip dieing
97 days ago
 
Freeze-mizer
Snowfall - just looked at all models - I'm not surprised. I think it shifts west, but still think NE is the winner...again. Maybe NY gets into the game, and maybe we get something more west of TTN. too many things not in our favor for the miracle I think - but 0Zs tonight will tell. Time to start nowcasting. Too easy to say this one's over and forget it - we'd all miss out on a lot of learning IMO. (general statement!!) Although I UNDERSTAND the FRUSTRATION!!!!!

Rob - next weekend has potential - but w/o ridging, the old progressive, fast pattern will be in play. Hopefully a dose of H in the north and some blocking can make it work.

We need this massive energy to move through to see next week more clearly.....

Wash, rinse, repeat.
97 days ago
 
Snowfall100
rob im sticking with mike and the shift west
97 days ago
 
rob guarino
Rich...

I hear ya man...the models have been worst than ever and we are in the snow doughnut this winter. It's payaback for those big winters a few years ago.
97 days ago
 
Mike Choy
This potential storm is being hyped big time by TWC. In all honesty I can see this being the storm that we all remember this Winter By. Looks to be a GLC with a transfer to the Coast.
97 days ago
 
Rich cinaglia
Rob your great guy and a knowledgable met and I know anything can happen but this winter is one of if not the worse of the many that I have lived thru in this area.This is true for me for several reasons.

The winter forecast erroneously gave a lot of hope to snow lovers in the Philly- South Jersey area especially after last years fiasco.We know how that has turned out .

We have had snow North ,West South and East of us and have missed out on chances such as this one for tomorrow night that five days ago looked so promising.Would anyone believe Cape May had more snow then Philly this winter?

The snow we have gotten has been an absolute joke and except for one minor one with always temp questions and whatever fell was gone before noon the next day.

I could go on but suffice to say get the white flag or towel and get ready to wave or throw it in. Forget the two storms you are talking about ,and ,I don't say this with any malice aforethought, give up on the winter it is beyond salvaging.
97 days ago
 
snowtrain
You know it's nice out there today and I am not too thrilled with any of the chances next week now either so I am done with the winter! I have had enough .3 inch flizzards, bring on spring b/c this winter is hands down the most frustrating I have ever seen for a snow lover. The Phils are in Florida now and I am ready to grill!

Edit: I'd gladly take a real snow storm if Mother Nature wants to throw us a bone, but I'm not holding my breath anymore!
97 days ago
 
Snowfall100
Hmm that sucks...... This storm was supposed to be Philly's turn a week ago. I'm not trying to look ahead right now cause of what happened to this one
97 days ago
 
rob guarino
snowfall...

It's a tough one to get to shift west simply because of where the front stops offshore tonight and carves out a track up the coast. The chance is there but more likely South Jersey coast to Coastal New England east of Islip NY.
97 days ago
 


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