The Euro is coming in now with an update on the snow tomorrow night and over the weekend. The Euro was not big on this storm on the run last night and we'll see if it can amp up the storm and drift it a bit more north on this run.
Remember, unlike the last storm, where the NAM had one run that was insane (for us). It has been pretty consistant that it wants this storm to be jucier and further North.
Yeah I have to start ignoring those who don't like what I have to say either.
These Mets do a great job, but the haven't been so great this winter with forecasting these storms. They have pretty much amped up a lot of the storms so far. BTW I am not saying they do a bad job, they do so much research, but it just shows, even with all the logic and science they do, mother nature has the last call.
with the NAO looking to negative, maybe -2, that just supresses everything.
wenner, You have to ignore and not comment. it's not worth it. this morning was tough when the title started with "logic", well to me that screamed that eveyone who disagrees with the writer is not rational. I stopped reading his blog last winter, just like I started skipping tim's comments this year.
I'm here to learn, not to read comments with no support behind it.
Just keep doing what you, kevin, mike, rob, steve... yours are the blogs i read.
I would love the 12z CMC if it were true. It does seem impossible that it could be raining buckets in Maine as someone else mentioned and another person heard that the 12z run is probably wonky because the CMC is due for a major upgrade tomorrow at noon.
Thinking it is full of bad data. But it is the only current model run that is holding the storm on land anyways.
In regards to the weekend I am stilling hanging in there and I won't wave the white towel until the models aren't showing something closer to the coast after the 12Z runs thursday. This huge trough just can't go to waste! I think an overall 2-4" call for the area for Vday sounds about right less as you head south and towards the coast.
I haven't seem the EURO.. but Tri State Weather just posted on FB about how all 12z models were OTS and now showing a progressive pattern for the next couple weeks with temps warming. I am a member on the Tri State Weather forum, so I'm not sure who to believe. Can anyone else comment on the euro showing a storm?
Brent.... I"M in the Mount Penn area and never had to use my shovel this year. My snow blower is still covered and hasn't moved in 2 years. Hope that changes soon.
Shoveled my entire driveway west of Reading, quite a bit this year, more then normal too. Used the snow blower once when we had the 5-6" at the end of December.
Thank you Wenner....I am also tired of the "Well i predicted last storm right.....blah blah blah". I think a good term is bittercasting...there is alot of it going on
Would be nice to get something in the Reading area were i can use my shovel and not a broom to clean my sidewalks off with. Just one good one would be nice.
For everyone, I think what is getting very old this year is the dart throwing totals and self-pats on the back when someone's guess is right. There was ZERO model support for 1-3" totals on the last storm, yet when some threw it out there again,I had to read many blogs and comments by the people themselves declaring they nailed another one and how great they were. It got so obnoxious that people were literally making up totals for ABE to make it seem like they were correct, when in fact some fell 3-5" short.