18z GFS..Rain to Snow holds

I do like the trending with the models the closer we are getting the more I trust the models on the Pre VD storm just 48 hours away. They key is the stick factor because it will snow late Wednesday night.

 

My feeling is we'll start as light rain to rain and snow but after 10pm it goes over to wet snow...the coldest part of the night 2-6am will bring the best chance of snow sticking. Some of the models have popped a nice dose of precip over the area so the rate of snow can make it even stick to the wet ground.

Blog started by rob guarino , on 127 days ago
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Jeff McCoach
Interesting how NAM and GFS runs are almost identical with the 18z run. I have not looked at the raw data yet but the models are very very similar.
127 days ago
 
Freeze-mizer
Couldn't agree more.....
127 days ago
 
Kevin Reilly
I still have reservations about this storm no cold high up north and surface temps are an issue 10 meters below for most of this quick moving event.
127 days ago
 
Lee H
Rob what do you think for NYC metro and LI?
127 days ago
 
Freeze-mizer
Just hoping it's a moderate storm - no school closings - just 2 hrs late type of thing. My kids lost 5 days to Sandy - and they don't have any built in snow days - insane, right! So now they're going until at least June 21st!!

Now Sunday can bring 3 feet since we're off on Monday! a little nervous about that one.....
127 days ago
 


 

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