The Winter Buzz ! (Factors, Winter 101)
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Nowcast 6:45PM

Screen shot 2013-02-08 at 6.38.31 PM

 

As stronger forcing sets up over the region and the two systems interacting suggest the rapid fill in of the radar above.  As the radar lights up we will begin to see the back edge come to a stop and backbuild.  Where that occurs is the million dollar question right now but should not be too far from where it is now so keep an eye on radar!

 

The sfc pressure image below shows the low continuing to intensify as the merger occurs.  Notice the inverted trough extending through NJ.  To the right of this feature watch out for some big time snow rates shortly!

Screen shot 2013-02-08 at 6.39.34 PM

 

Blog started by Mike DeFino , on 105 days ago
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Jonathan Wenner
RRman. Haha. Yea I needed a hobby so I am building a 16x4 layout
105 days ago
 
RRman96
Hey Jonathan, You like trains? someday you can come to work with me and play with the real ones. Most locos weigh 220,000lbs and 6000 hp and up. Sorry no beer not allowed anymore.
105 days ago
 
Jonathan Wenner
Nothing like working on my HO scale model railroad with a beer and snow falling!!
105 days ago
 
Jim T.
Game, set, match...... No back edge snow. No bombing out for the Delaware Valley. No "real show" starting between 7 and 9 tonight - unless of course you live in Hartford or Boston.

Doesn't surprise me. It was evident at 8 this AM that the coastal LOW was much farther east then modeled on the 00z. Water vapor imagery doesn't lie, and neither does the Mesoscale critical thickness map.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html
105 days ago
 
Jonathan Wenner
Wind picked up, heavy snow now. Roads totally covered!!

I absolutely HATE winter, but these little moments make it somewhat worth it
105 days ago
 
Brian
Wenner,

Three years ago you got shafted alot while we got crushed down here. I'm bummed we aren't getting snow but I think us Maryland guys owe you about 5 or 6 ten inch snows while we take it on the chin.

One good thing on my end is the 09-10 season actually made me dislike shoveling. Thought I'd never say that. The little coatings and 1 inch snows down here have been nice as I have not dusted the shovel off in two years now. I'm thinking even if a crazy band hits me tonight it will melt in the sun tomorrow.

Remember lift with your legs this snow will be heavy!

Tea Anyone??? Lets Party!!
105 days ago
 
Dave Jones
Snow falling in Horsham Pa now
105 days ago
 
Marcus wild
Snowing in Woodbury. No echoes here.
105 days ago
 
Jonathan Wenner
Thanks Brian. Its not even about claiming I was right for my area.I just want freaking snow!!!
105 days ago
 
Brian
I'm pulling for you up that way Wenner.

Rebel all back end snows are set ups for failure. However the ones that do work out make us hold out hope each time. Wonder if the models will ever get to the point where they don't show insane back end snows that don't happen?? Would definitely cut down on the bust potential.

Tea Anyone?? Lets Party!!!
105 days ago
 
Andy Capone
Mike,

This was/is a storm for the ages. I do admit I'm bummed that it missed DE; but it showed me how to follow the models better. I'm still new to the site and this I've learned a ton from this storm and you're analysis.

In DE now we have 36 degrees and 33 DP with nothing from the sky......for now.....
105 days ago
 
Rebelg
Anything back end sucks.
105 days ago
 
Lee H
Know this becuse of eyewitness accounts back home
105 days ago
 
Jonathan Wenner
Brian--It should basically slow down and fill in through about 3am now. About 1/2" in Quakertown now with moderate snow. It took long enough.

Waived the white flag and lowered my ABE amounts from 6-12" to 5-9" now.
105 days ago
 
Lee H
I am unfortunately in sunny Cali but central Long Island is currently experiencing heavy snow and already 6 inches on ground. Was last flight out this morning.
105 days ago
 
Brian
This back end is not slowing down for awhile. I hope I"m wrong but it's game over. Better luck next time gang!

Tea Anyone?? Lets Party!!!
105 days ago
 
Freeze-mizer
Beautiful 984 about 100miles east of where we wanted it! Well - so now it's about whether it wraps enough or west side precip pushes east too fast. Now WV is not in our favor - IMO

Always was a crap-shoot for TTN and south IMO, so am not disappointed - and it's been fun to watch.
105 days ago
 
SgtSnow
So close and yet so far.
105 days ago
 
tim riggins
Wowowowow.....long island is getting HAMMeRED
105 days ago
 


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