WHAT: NOR'EASTER

WHERE: DELAWARE TO MAINE including NJ PA NY LI CT NH ME MA VT

WHEN: 5:00am Friday to 7:00am Saturday (Delaware Valley)

WHEN: 9:00am Friday to Noon Saturday (Lehigh Valley/Poconos)

WHEN: 11:00 am Friday to 2pm Saturday (NYC North Jersey LI)

MIKE DEFINO's RPM MODEL UPDATE 3PM

I like the Euro as my model of choice for this storm in many ways. I do think it has been on this from the get go and it is now starting to tweak the storm. In the end I think my snow map will sit between the Euro and GFS with a closer lean to the Euro. So lets look at the raw numbers and compare the two runs. 

I also look at the NAM and CMC Canadian but I'm leaning on the Euro and GFS for 80% of my forecast thinking at this point.

NUMBERS ON THE LEFT GFS. RIGHT EURO. BELOW THAT MY 1st CALL

Wilm DE...Rain to Snow Friday night 2-4"    Euro...2-3" rain to snow

Rob's call for Wilmington DE... 2-4" rain to snow

Philly PA...Rain to snow by Friday night 3-5"    Euro 3-5" rain to snow

Rob's 1st call for Philadelphia Rain to snow 3-5" 

Reading...Rain to snow by Friday night 3-5"   Euro 3-5" rain to snow
Rob's 1st call for Reading Pottstown King of Prussia 3-5"

Allentown...Rain to snow  by Friday 4pm 4-6"   Euro 5-8" 90% snow

Rob's 1st call for Allentown, Perkasie, Easton, Bethlehem, 4-7"

Trenton NJ...Rain to snow by Friday night 3-5"  Euro 4-6" rain to snow

Rob's 1st call for Trenton Ewing Florence Cranbury 4-6" 

Lancaster PA... All snow 4-6"   Euro 4-6" all snow

Rob's 1st call for Lancaster Lititz 4-6"

Atlantic City...Mostly rain...snow late 1-3"  Euro 3-5" rain to snow

Rob's 1st call A.C. Tuckerton Ocean City LBI   2-5" rain to snow

Millville NJ...Rain to snow late 2-4"  Euro 2-4" Rain to snow

Rob's 1st call for Millville Vineland Elmer Dennis 2-4" rain to snow

Dover DE...Rain to snow 1-3"

Baltimore...Rain to flurries

DC Metro...Rain showers

Poconos...Mostly snow little mix 6-8"

Scranton-Wilkes Barre...Snow...little mix 6-8"   Euro 5-8" Snow

Rob's 1st call for Scranton Dunmore Carbondale 5-8" Snow

NYC Metro...Light snow to rain to snow 4-6"  Euro Mix to Snow 7-10"

Rob's first call for NYC Western LI Elizabeth NJ Mix to Snow 5-9"

North Jersey...Light snow to rain to snow 4-6" Euro Mix to Snow 7-10"

Rob's 1st Call for North Jersey Paramus Hackensack Hoboken 5-9"

Long Island (Islip) Light snow to rain to snow 4-7"

Lower Hudson Valley...All snow 8-12"

Binghamton NY...All snow  8-12"

Albany NY... All snow 8-11"

Syracuse NY All snow 8-12" (lake snow possible sat night)

Springfield MA All snow 9-13"

Burlington VT All snow 8-11"

Boston...All snow 18-22"  Euro 30-32" Snow (3 runs in a row !)

Rob's 1st call for Boston Roxbury Foxboro 27-32"

Providence...90% snow...some mix  19-22" 

Portland ME...All snow 15-20"

Hartford CT...All snow 12-14"