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Friday HUGE STORM potential
WHAT: FEBRUARY MEGA STORM?
START: 9 AM FRIDAY START PHL AREA 11 AM NYC 1PM BOSTON
END: 7AM PHILLY 4 PM NYC 7 PM BOSTON (SATURDAY)
So we look at a storm which is about 2-3 days away and start to wonder...is this the BIG ONE this winter? For some it very well may be as the Euro plays a pretty decent storm (12"+ of snow) with wind.
So after looking over the models here is the raw data just in...
CITY EURO (SNOW TOTALS ARE WITH MIX)
BOSTON 34" (ALL SNOW)
PROVIDENCE 31" (90% SNOW...MAY MIX A LITTLE)
PORTLAND ME 23" (ALL SNOW
HARTFORD 20" (ALL SNOW)
NYC METRO 8-12" (SOME MIX LIKELY)
HUDSON VALLEY 12" (ALL SNOW)
CAPTIAL DISTRICT 10-12" (ALL SNOW)
SPRINGFIELD MA 10-15" (ALL SNOW)
LONG ISLAND (ISP) 8-12" (MIXING IN MID STORM)
MORRISTOWN NJ 7-9" (A LITTLE MIXING)
NEWARK NJ 8-10" (A LITTLE MIXING)
TRENTON NJ 4-6" (MIX TO START)
ALLENTOWN 3-5" (LITTLE MIX)
QUAKERTOWN PA 3-4" (SOME MIX)
POCONOS 4-6" (ALL SNOW)
SCRANTON 4-6" (ALL SNOW)
NE PHILADELPHIA 3-4" (RAIN START)
PHILADELPHIA 2-3" RAIN START)
KING OF PRUSSIA 2-3" (SOME RAIN)
WEST CHESTER PA 1-3" (RAIN START)
WILMINGTON DE 1-2" (RAIN UP FRONT)
READING PA 2-3" (SOME MIX)
LANCASTER PA 1" OR SO (MAINLY WEST OF STORM)
CHERRY HILL NJ 1-3" (SOME RAIN UP FRONT)
MILLVILLE NJ 1-3" (RAIN UP FRONT)
ATLANTIC CITY 1-2" (RAIN MOST OF STORM)
DOVER DE 1" OR SO (BACK END OF STORM)
WILDWOOD 1-2" (RAIN MOST OF STORM)
REHOBOTH BCH DE 1" OR SO (BACK END OF STORM)
OCEAN CITY MD 1" OR SO (BACK END OF STORM)
BALTIMORE
WASH DC METRO
CLICK HERE FOR MIKE DEFINO'S BLOG
**** IF WE MISSED YOUR AREA DROP ME A NOTE IN THE COMMENT SECTION....WE'LL GET TO YOU
**** THIS IS ONLY ONE RUN ON THE EURO MODEL. WE"LL LOOK INTO MORE LATER TODAY & TONIGHT.
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It is interesting that this is occurring at the same time the Nao is tanking, I am thinking this component may very well be the staller mechanism not yet realized.
It's a snow bomb mostly for eastern and northern New England, NW Jersey and upstate NY.
There will be a period of a wintry mix or sleet around NYC, Long Island, southern/central NJ, and southwest toward Philly and Balto during Friday as 850 mb temps warm up temporarily. As the storm bombs and pulls twd the northeast Friday evening, NYC and LI will revert to snow for the balance.
I'm still skeptical about going as high as 2.5 to 3 feet of white stuff for the top amounts given the storm's speed of exit and lack of strong blocking North Atlantic ridge.
Okay...let's watch this baby unfold and have fun! :)
I still would have thought we would get a culminator that would come from a cold hearted clipper (that would be already a cold cored entity) from a cold sourced region.
Take a cold cored clipper and bomb it off Va, and we are in the game. The NAO is declining for a reason, but our best nao readings for a coastal and snowstorm around here is a -1.0 nao reading.
hope that this storm will stay with us till friday :)
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