The Winter Buzz ! (Factors, Winter 101)
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Snow Fri..Sun..Tues (clipper + systems slide in)

The GFS has been taking the lead the past few days on the triple headed clippers about to roll past the Midwest and East Coast.  The NAM is starting to come around after days of very dry air and a lack of moisture at all on the model guidance. The Euro has shown flashes and looks to lead in the GFS's world as of this morning.  

 

This means we have 3 chances of snow from Chicago to Cincy to Pittsburgh. The east coast will see snow from DC north through New England and it could get as far south as Richmond with just enough cold air.

 

I am thinking the 2nd clipper on Sunday may become "best in show" as it slows down and actually pops off the coast. This means New England and to a degree Long Island could be looking at a moderate snow event.

 

The third and last clipper of the first week of February will be a bit of a wild card depending how big clipper #2 gets on Sunday. It does not look as big as clipper #2 at this point but I'd like to hold off on and exact snow amount until Sunday on this one.

 

Arctic Frnt Clipper #2 Clipper #3 DRIFTER
DATE/MAXIMUM SNOW FRI SUN TUE FEB 8 FRI
PHILADELPHIA 1.0" 1-3" 1-2" ???
NE PHILLY 1.0" 1-3" 1-2" ???
READING PA .25" 1-2" 1-3" ???
ALLENTOWN PA .25" 1-2" 1-3" ???
CHERRY HILL NJ 1.0" 1-3" 1-2" ???
WILMINGTON DE 1.0" 1-3" 1-2" ???
MILLVILLE NJ 1-2" 1-2" 1" ???
TRENTON NJ .50" 1-3" 1-2" ???

 

 

CLIPPER #1 (more like a second arctic front)

WHEN: FRIDAY 2am to FRIDAY 3pm

TYPE: ALL SNOW (coldest of the three clippers)

WHERE: DC north to the POCONOS (PHL BWI ILG LEHIGH POCONOS)

HOW MUCH: 1" or so...some places will just get a coating.

Screen Shot 2013-01-31 at 9.22.45 AM Screen Shot 2013-01-31 at 9.25.05 AM

This is a hyrid Arctic Front/Clipper that will bring snow showers and a period of light snow for tomorrow.  I do think after a big rain event it's hard to re-tap any moisture in that quick of a turn around. This will be the least amount of snow out of the three clippers.

Blog started by rob guarino , on 114 days ago
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mjz
OHHHH some snow.....is it possible for the jersey shore around Belmar......pleaseeeeeeeeeeeee
114 days ago
 
Lee H
I know Rob mentioned Long Island with moderate snow what do you think is 3-6 a good estimate? Central Long Island btw.
114 days ago
 
Greg Molini
Any chance Brooklyn, NY could see some moderate totals anytime during these 3 storms?
114 days ago
 
tim riggins
Boston could get a big snowfall.
114 days ago
 
nkay
Wat does it look like for the amount of snow boston will get for
sunday and next tuesday?
114 days ago
 
OAKLAND2323
Wow....my forecast/prediction might come true ;-)

I replied Rob to you directly.
114 days ago
 
Lee
Nice work Rob, as usual. While we haven't gotten "the big one" I will take cold air and clippers, snow is snow, no matter how much. Definitely not going the "woe is me, bring on spring" route. Some snow > no snow.
114 days ago
 
Marcus wild
.07" of qpf. Can we just get all these .05 .1 .07 clippers in one big storm of...a monster .5" of qpf!!!

Just too much to ask around Philly these 2 winters to get a normal 3-6" snowfall. I'm not asking for 2009-2011. I'm just asking for a NORMAL snowfall sigh.
114 days ago
 
rob guarino
Pete...

You got it
114 days ago
 
phillyPete
Will be casually watching. Hope we get a little something from these clippers.
That freezing one last week was a nice little surprise IMBY.
Thanks for all your work keeping us informed!
114 days ago
 
SgtSnow
Well hope remains.
114 days ago
 


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