The Winter Buzz ! (Factors, Winter 101)
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GFS EURO trending up for SNOW

I am starting to see an upward trend for some snow Saturday night into Sunday morning. It will be plenty cold for many I-95 cities and the clipper will try and tap available moisture down south. The cold is not as cold as the storm this past weekend but that is a good thing.

 

Both models now show snow this weekend with the Euro in at 1-3" and the GFS just came in at 2-4" with both slowly trending upward.  I like this storm better than this last one simply due to a possible push north for more moisture as the colder air is not as Arctic as last weekend.

Screen Shot 2013-01-28 at 5.57.49 PM

So the GFS has jumped on board with a little more precip each run the last 4 runs, the Euro is slowly bringing the precip up as well.

 

 

Blog started by rob guarino , on 117 days ago
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phillyPete
Tim, I mentioned no names on purpose - as it was more a general statement. Sorry if you felt singled out, I can see the thread has leaned that way.
Regardless, my statements stands: if one feels a storm isn't going to do what some are hoping, folks should simply state so (any why) and move on. Haggling about it just brings people down. If they want "false hope", let them have it. State your reasoning and move on. History will show who was right.
115 days ago
 
nkay
Okay, again thanks Tim! :)
116 days ago
 
tim riggins
Hard to say with the snow totals, but the QPF looks good
116 days ago
 
nkay
Thanks. What you thinking as of now for totals??
116 days ago
 
tim riggins
Looks like for boston, Tuesday night and Wednesday.
116 days ago
 
nkay
wait, this is for the mon tues storm right?
116 days ago
 
tim riggins
12z GFS looks like a 3-6 type event for philly. We will have to see what the 00z GFS shows, but a lot of time for this to get even bigger or well.....like last Fridays storm.
116 days ago
 
Charles
What would Philadelphia get from this?
116 days ago
 
nkay
Wow! Thanks Tim :)
116 days ago
 
tim riggins
12z gfs shows a bomb going up the coast as it gets towards cape cod. Cape cod could get a serious snow from this, and Boston could def get a good snow by the looks of the model.
116 days ago
 
nkay
I appreciate the time and effort Tim puts into these storms and how he informs us about his latest ideas. Thanks Tim! Also, do you think that this monday tuesday storm could end up with boston getting more than 8 inches of snow?
116 days ago
 
tim riggins
If you are referring to me Pete, I don't fill up threads with negative posts. I speak what I believe is going to happen in storms, and there is nothing wrong with that. Like I said before, if you expect everyone in the world to agree with one another, things would be WAY different in this world. I am allowed and have every right to say what I think the storm is going to do. I don't see why people are calling me a Debbie downer and negative, I am saying what I think will happen and I have been right with these storms.
I was VERY VERY positive about the last storm when everyone was calling it off, then I saw the pattern and trend and just wanted to tell you guys what I think is going to happen, which is the point on this blog. To discuss weather/
116 days ago
 
phillyPete
One is allowed to complain, but to fill up entire threads with it is uncalled for and leads Rob to get a mailbox full of nonsense..
As for last Fridays event, let me tell you that I have not seen flakes like that in years. Pure 6 sided cotton candy dendrites. I took a picture of some on my glove. We just don't ft that around here very often. It was only 2.5", but I thoroughly enjoyed it, while others complained about it being a bust.
Anyway, if this is another cold clipper then so be it. One big storm would certainly be welcome, maybe well ft a post from ALLISHAIR!
116 days ago
 
nkay
Could this storm be a major noreaster for the boston area?
116 days ago
 
Matt
NKuss947, I agree with you 110%. I have learned so much from the pro and amateur mets on here. I have learned more in the past year on here, then I learned from watching the TV mets all my life. Reading, PA has received about 12 to 13 inches of snow this year, so far the mets have been pretty close to right on. With February still ahead of us, I am looking forward to tracking more storms on here, and learn even more from the met's on here. Keep up the great work! I think all the name calling, and all the negativity needs to go away, or I think we will lose more people on here (I miss Doc Toochs blogs!)
116 days ago
 
NKuss947
I've been around since the Fox 29 days and, without fail, every year there is always one "Dougie Downer" who just sucks the oxygen right out of the room with their constant negative blogs. They all have the same profile: scant weather knowledge; a fondness for whining; baiting others; and most importantly, they never learned how to put on big boy pants.

You don't have to belong to Mensa to know that just about everyone who is on LWB loves snow and is equally frustrated about the lack of the white stuff the past two seasons. We don't need the "Downers" constantly reminding us of the obvious.

Forecasting the weather is a combination of art and science. Forecasts from knowledgeable pro and amt. mets are the end result of critically analyzing considerable data. These individuals are sharng their best information and thoughts with us.

When you have experienced more of life Tim, who will understand that the journey can be as great as reaching the goal. Thus, if some snow storm predictions are a miss so what. The fun is anticipating and tracking the next possible storm.

I second Rob's blog that was directed to Tim. By the way Tim, we've had about 13" of snow in the North Wales, Lansdale, Gwynedd, PA areas if you add up all the small snow events since November 2012. Just because it has not snowed in your backyard/playpen is irrelevant.
116 days ago
 
Jonathan Wenner
I do not like the weekend threat for ABE north, but I am starting to like next Tuesday for a shot a quick moving 3-6" just like Friday. Looks like next week has a bit more moisture to work with
116 days ago
 
Lauren
i think a banter section would be much appreciated, as well as moderation to enforce it.
116 days ago
 
Geoff
Hey gang. I myself am also a snow lover and someone who just watches this site for the great info. Plowing and sledding are my wintertime. These past two years blow hard!!!! I try to read and understand all the aos naos. Ceos. Cfos...etc....lol. Ive learned alot, thanks. Its guys like Tim, who make the blogs very uneasy to read. His non-informative "opinions" , and the spewing after that between members is not appealing. Can someone make a category for opinion only/non scientific data ? Then guys like tim can go there, instead of stirring the pot. Or, is there a way to block seeing specific peoples posts on here?

My skidoo and plow r very lonely in the Lehigh Valley.

Geoff
116 days ago
 
mjz
so Rob, are you saying we can have up to 4 inches on Saturday??? I for one, say whoa !!!! keep us posted , please...............
116 days ago
 


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