For the first time in two winters the pattern positioning of the H's and L's look good for areas from DC to Boston. I like the trends and overall pattern on the GFS right now I think it's been doing a better job than the Euro but since it's still 5 days away we'll see how the other models come into play the next few days.
Very cold air sits out in front of the storm and after it so unlike most of the storms this winter this one has a higher than normal shot of all snow come Friday afternoon into Saturday morning.
You and mb gonna be biting your tongues at noon today when the 12z gfs comes back with a snowfall.
Yesterday. 6z was north with rain now way south and your gonna tell me that this is the final outcome that til be south?
The 6z gfs was more weak because of the 500mb most likely. At the 00z the energy dug deeper, the 6z not so much, which didnt make sense because the 6z 500 vort was actually a bit stronger... It looked like a mere timing issue of 1-3 hours. I expect the 12z to bring it back to a snowfall for us.
You guys saw the 6z dgex by any chance? 4-8". It looked like the 12z euro. Nam has the LP's for Friday lined up with the 00z gfs. Don't worry about the 6z gfs 4 days from a storm, it happens everytime lol. When I see the euro and gfs agree on something 5 days out, it's usually a good bet on close to that outcome
NAM looks like the GFS at 84hrs for the Friday storm. Low placements look to be the same across the board between the nam/euro/gfs. We should see the same outcome. Nam also has a coating to inch of snow before the Friday event.