So we are starting to see the models and yeah the NAO and AO make this pattern more favorable for winter storms in the Midwest and East Coast. The question now becomes where we carve out the exact storm track in the next few weeks.
The GFS comes in with three east coast chances with the first chance a possible snow for Cleveland Chicago and Detroit.
January 14th looks just like this passed system that stayed warm. It sits in the same position with the same blue line, you can't make this stuff up. Only difference is it's a 1012 mb center verses the bomb last week. This does show promise but we need a high to grind up against to get this to produce!
We really need the mjo to get to moving. We're in AWFUL phases for the mid Atlantic right now 4-5-6, and with the Se ridge backing into the south it may be quite a few weeks before snow chances come back. This is setting up to be a NE pattern. I still think I'm gonn go the rest of the winter without snow.