A good chunk of the Midwest and Ohio Valley picked up snow the last two days with blizzard conditions in 9 states. This is building the snow cover we need next week as COLD Arctic HIGH pressure(s) start to invade the lower USA.
Snow Cover before the blizzard yesterday shows nice cover in the West and in Canada. We are setting up the next few weeks very nicely.
Ahhhh lots of snow and ice up north as temps have dropped to -50 in Siberia and Alaska.
So we have the signals....we have an active Southern Jet and we have a fresh snow cover to keep it cold...are we ready for storms? You bet we are starting next week. Ahhhh computer model guidance time.
The NAM has the right trend but we'll see in a few hours on the new set of runs.
The GFS would be snow for many and this would be a perfect come Christmas morning as NJ PA MD DE wake up to a winter wonderland.
00zNam 25th warmer drier and abit sheared. 00z Gfs 25th warmer, drier,but a bit further north. 00z Gfs 27th is warmer, closer to the coast, a bit drier. 00 Gfs 30th further east wasnt reflected in previous runs. 00z Gfs 2nd was on the 3rd closer to coast and abit drier and warmer. Everything is trending warmer and drier. My suspicion there still adjusting to the cold air penetration. We have a general track but model is flip flopping on ptype, and track deviation + - 60 miles east/west.
Looks like 1 clipper on the 25th, 1 B Miller on the 27th, another B miller on enso steriods with 967 mb, or is it an A Miller on the 3rd. The models are looking hyperactive. Like hurricane season in the winter, but with diffrent itcz. Just speculating the future looks promising :)
I'm ready for winter! I'd love to see some crazy winter storms, I'm tired of seeing the stuff I should be seeing in the spring. I'm hoping the models hold up; if last night was any indication, things could be really exciting this winter.....anything would be better than last year!
The NAM looks about right....bringing rain to the southern half of Chester County. I wouldn't doubt this verifies verbatim with the way my luck has gone so far. lol.