Ahhhh so I am really starting to see the parade of storms on the long range models and yes the Arctic Oscillation will help us out along the way.  We are gonna see 3-4 storms the next 2-3 weeks some will miss...some will graze us...one will nail us.

My gut feeling is we are gonna get popped from one of these storms in the next 20 days. The pattern is coming around to winter you can see on each run looking into early January that it will be winter and will not be like last year...not even close my friends.

So we now see the index for the NAO and AO and it's not all that bad as we head into January. You want the NAO to be negative just a bit but not too much to drive storms to far south. You want the AO to supply those fresh Arctic doses of air to pop the storms to the coast.

As you can see the storm just after Christmas has potential and it will come down to where we place the HIGH pressure to the north with this potential system. The first map is the GFS, next Euro and last is the Canadian Model.