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Rain to Snow the Euro is a GO
The Euro has been the most consistent model right now so we lean a bit over the GFS as we get to the mid and short range models the next few days. We'll gat a look at the other models tomorrow and Saturday.
Blog started by rob guarino , on 158 days ago
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GFS WILL come back WEST, give it time. Euro is almost where final track will be IMO. That Rain/Snow line on the EURO will be quickly moving SE with that North wind you can see cranking on this run. The precip intensity along the coast at the time of the posted image would even allow that to be snow. I like the GFS OTS right now, it allows for it to come back. Remember, we do not want a perfect track for us this early on. Let the models do their thing.
00z gfs still OTS looks like. Monster storm though.. Just need an earlier phase! Still time to change...
Beginning to think this storm may flop. But have no fear, some models are begining to pick up on a possible New Years storm. Still WAY far out but the models are trending a lot colder towards the end of the month and solid cold in january. So keep your fingers crossed!
It would be strange to have 2 winters in a row with less than 4 inches of snow. Normal total is 21"
Scott . . . at least there is a glimmer of hope for snow this winter, unlike last year. Hopefully, the Mid-Atlantic snow drought will end. No more warm and wet and then cold and dry.
I see the "is it going to snow in my backyard" folks are back, a bit annoying, but expected, as usual. lol
Calm down, Rob's post is a broad overview, not a forecast. There will be a many model runs between now and Tuesday night.
Calm down, Rob's post is a broad overview, not a forecast. There will be a many model runs between now and Tuesday night.
If this storm does not come inland more, say bye to the snow for a while here in upstate ny since there won't be any cold air after that
Rob:
It looks like according to the EURO model that Syracuse would not get this storm? Am I right?
It looks like according to the EURO model that Syracuse would not get this storm? Am I right?
Rob check the boundary layer temps on euro. It's torched and doesn't support frozen precip. simply showing the 850 line doesn't tell the story.
I was looking at my 10 day outlook and it doesn'r look to promising for a White Christmas in Syracuse. What is your thinking? Do you see any storms coming before Christmas?
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