I cannot believe the short term memories that some people have. You would think that winter forecasting only went on last year. Did you forget that the two previous winters were historic? We had back to back winters with above average snowfall. I know we all got a burned repeatedly last winter but it has no bearing on this winter. I to was spoiled by the two previous winter and last year was a total bust but the signs of change are present. The staff meteorologists here and on other sites are already seeing changes in the atmosphere that will result in colder temperatures arriving mid to late month (check out Steven DiMartino post) . Keep the faith. It’s still early. Plenty of time to jump off the bandwagon later if you feel the need to.
Marcus Wild- yeah, didn't they forecast it to be cold and very snowy last year? And as we all know it was terrible. And worse, my 10 day forecast (I'm near Boston) has temps all week that are well ABOVE average and RAINY :,(
No one is going to buy the cold air this year. No one, minus the mets that forecast it. But your gonna be hard pressed to find anyone that believes forecast this year. Last year was a complete and utter let down. No one is going to buy the cold until it actually happens this year.
Weatherman 71 I agree. last year most of the long-range forecasts were for a cold snowy winter and of course the opposite occurred. These forecasts were based on sound met variables just like this years forecasts ,so why would this year be any different.?
i know there will be those who will say last year this wasn't there that wasn't there etc. but there is still so much unknown about weather that there may be other things that are not known yet that make long term forecasting a crap shoot,last year being a good example..
already we are in the ten day two week mode for cold air and snow which of course never comes.The first week of dec. three weeks ago was supposed to be cold now postponed for two weeks.
I'm not buying the colder winter idea for one simple reason. In Philadelphia, we have had above normal temperatures 16 of the last 17 months. The trend is no longer our friend. I'm sure the models will advertise extreme cold snaps two weeks out, just like last winter, only to have temps in the low 40's when the "arctic" air finally arrives.