New Jersey had a HUGE winter during 2013-2014 and depending on the exact track of El Nino and the Southern Jet Stream this could be another big one for the winter of 2014-2015. Several factors go into our forecast with the main one the size and power of El Nino. Here are the factors carving out the winter ahead.
So we looked over the last 50 years of El Nino winters and 5 were weak El Nino's, 8 were a moderate El Nino and 7 years were classified as a strong El Nino. We are placing a good deal of our forecast on El Nino this winter simply due that we feel it will be a moderate event. The new info below shows the world models leaning in that direction at this point.
WHICH ANALOG YEARS DO WE SEE THAT
LOOK LIKE THE 2014-15 WINTER?
AO-Arctic Oscillation is the open and closed door for cold weather, also the polar Vortex
NAO-North Atlantic Oscillation is the Pedulum of storm tracks and cold air across the USA
PNA-Pacific North American Connection is the steering pattern for storms from Alaska & the West
THE NEW JERSEY WINTER AHEAD
TEMPS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
SNOWFALL SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
|Snw Days||Place||Average||This Winter|
|14.5||Newark & Elizabeth||28.6"||33.0"|
|8.0||Wanaque Reservoir Dam||19.4"||22.7"|
|Snw Dys||Place||Average||This Winter|
|8.7||Atlantic City-Sea Isle-O.C.||16.5"||27.4"|
|3.3||Beach Haven, Brant Beach||15.1"||22.3"|
|3.3||Belleplain State Forest||15.2"||17.4"|
OTHER WEATHER BLOGS TO FOLLOW
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