New Jersey Winter Outlook 2014-2015 (Trenton, Camden, Jersey City, Paramus, Atlantic City, Newark)

Discussion started by robweather 4 months ago

OCTOBER 28, 2014 UPDATE

 

New Jersey had a HUGE winter during 2013-2014 and depending on the exact track of El Nino and the Southern Jet Stream this could be another big one for the winter of 2014-2015. Several factors go into our forecast with the main one the size and power of El Nino. Here are the factors carving out the winter ahead.

So we looked over the last 50 years of El Nino winters and 5 were weak El Nino's, 8 were a moderate El Nino and 7 years were classified as a strong El Nino. We are placing a good deal of our forecast on El Nino this winter simply due that we feel it will be a moderate event. The new info below shows the world models leaning in that direction at this point.

 

EL NINO UPDATE 2014

EL NINO WATCH

Status as of October 2014

WHAT KIND OF EL NINO?

DOTS EL NINO MID OCT PNG

WEAK vs. STRONG EL NINO

WHAT KIND OF EL NINO

  

factors

STJ-Sub Tropical Jet steers the storm track for Low pressure systems

AO-Arctic Oscillation is the open and closed door for cold weather, also the polar Vortex

Click here for the daily AO

NAO-North Atlantic Oscillation is the Pedulum of storm tracks and cold air across the USA

Click here for the daily NAO

PNA-Pacific North American Connection is the steering pattern for storms from Alaska & the West

Click here for the daily PNA

 

THE NEW JERSEY WINTER AHEAD

TEMPS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL

SNOWFALL SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL

Snw DaysPlaceAverageThis Winter
10.6 Hightstown 22.7" 26.3"
  7.7 Lambertville 18.5" 22.1"
14.5 Newark & Elizabeth 28.6" 33.0"
13.5 New Brunswick 28.4" 32.5"
  8.3 Plainfield 22.8" 24.8"
12.8 Somerville 27.6" 31.3"
  8.0 Wanaque Reservoir Dam 19.4" 22.7"

 

South Jersey

Snw DysPlaceAverageThis Winter
  8.7 Atlantic City-Sea Isle-O.C. 16.5" 27.4"
  3.3 Beach Haven, Brant Beach   15.1" 22.3"
  3.3 Belleplain State Forest   15.2" 17.4"
  8.4 Cape May-Wildwood 14.9" 24.9"
  6.0 Millville-Vineland 12.6" 18.3"
  0.6 Moorestown/Cherry Hill  19.4"  25.7"

 

Ok so you have the overall outlook now get your hometown winter weather outlook & forecast.  We have also included other state outlooks with many smaller cities so check for NY CT PA and more.

Do you Ski and snowboard? Check out our over 150 ski resorts forecasts for temps and snowfall reports for this winter.

Compare the Climate Prediction Center's Winter Outlook vs.The Farmer's Almanac vs. Liveweatherblogs for snow totals temps and more.

If you are finished with out outlook and want to follow us for updates simply sign-up on our website or follow us socially.

 

THANKS FOR STOPPING IN AND THINK SNOW.

WE APPRECIATE THE SUPPORT!

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