Corpus Christi Texas Winter Outlook 2014-2015 (Texas El Nino Rainfall Forecast)

Discussion started by robweather 5 months ago

Corpus Christi and the area will see an interesting winter with El Nino now knocking at the door. If you look at the chart below almost all El Nino years show snowfall/rainfall ABOVE normal and we think this will be the call this winter. We expect some severe weather along with abundant rainfall, temps will be up and down.

HOW EL NINO WORKS

EL Nino world

After a long 4-year absence of El Nino we here at Liveweatherblogs.com are very confident we are heading into a weak to moderate El Nino. A weak to moderate El Nino for  the area means a variety of winter weather. We will see wild swings in temperatures throughout the winter. 

EL NINO CHANCES RIGHT NOW

FOR THE WINTER AHEAD

Screen Shot 2014-06-24 at 10.46.26 PM

WHAT TYPE OF EL NINO

DO THE MODELS SEE RIGHT NOW?

We have been in a neutral pattern since May of 2012 and before that we were in a La Nina period from June 2010 to April of 2012. The odds are in favor of an El Nino this winter and the chart below indicates that it will start over spring and summer.

So we looked over the last 50 years of El Nino winters and 5 were weak El Nino's, 8 were a moderate El Nino and 7 years were classified as a strong El Nino. We are placing a good deal of our forecast on El Nino this winter simply due that we feel it will be a moderate event. The new info below shows the world models leaning in that direction at this point.

Screen Shot 2014-06-24 at 10.12.47 PM

WHICH ANALOG YEARS DO WE SEE THAT LOOK LIKE THE 2014-15 WINTER?

Screen Shot 2014-06-24 at 10.41.24 PM

---------------------------------------------

 BREAKING EL NINO STORIES RIGHT NOW

WHAT IS EL NINO? HOW DOES IT WORK? 

EL NINO 1997 VS. 2014...THE BIGGEST YET?

HURRICANES AND EL NINO...YES THEY CAN BE BIG 

EL NINO TO SLAM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

EL NINO WATCH 2014 NEW INFO

------------------------------------------------ 

WHAT ARE THE ODDS OF A MODERATE

EL NINO THIS WINTER?

Screen Shot 2014-06-21 at 11.54.07 AM

OTHER WEATHER OUTLOOKS

YOUR HOMETOWN WINTER OUTLOOK

 NATIONAL SUMMER OUTLOOK 2014

YOUR HOMETOWN SUMMER OUTLOOK HERE

OTHER WINTER FACTORS

factors

STJ-Sub Tropical Jet steers the storm track for Low pressure systems

AO-Arctic Oscillation is the open and closed door for cold weather, also the polar Vortex

Click here for the daily AO

NAO-North Atlantic Oscillation is the Pedulum of storm tracks and cold air across the USA

Click here for the daily NAO

PNA-Pacific North American Connection is the steering pattern for storms from Alaska & the West

Click here for the daily PNA

 CORPUS CHRISTI WINTER SUMMARY 

It's a winter of WETTER weather with near normal to BELOW NORMAL TEMPS. Severe weather is likely in the later part of the winter with a dry, mild start.  Temps start mild and end cooler than normal.

________________________________

RAINFALL

THIS WINTER 6.04"

AVERAGE RAINFALL 3.50"

NO SNOW THIS WINTER

TEMPS...MILD START... COLDER FINISH!

___________________________________

WANT MORE OUTLOOKS? 

THE LATEST EL NINO WATCH 2014

YOUR  SUMMER OUTLOOK 2014 

MORE CITIES FOR WINTER

__________________________________


    1. twitter round register finger facebook round      


      Register on our website to get Updates & Alerts

    1.  Follow us on Twitter and Facebook 

It takes about 10 seconds to sign-up.

Thanks for the support!

You need to be a member of this group before you can participate in this blog.

Related Blogs

Powered by JomSocial

Announcement

We will be performing site speed maintenance this week as we prepare for big traffic this winter.

- Kristina, Site Administrator

 

 

Did you know?

There have been 8 weak El Ninos since 1950 and 6 had snow in November!