Altoona PA Winter Outlook 2014-2015 (Central PA gets El Nino snow burst!)

Discussion started by robweather 5 months ago

Pennsylvania will see an interesting winter with El Nino now knocking at the door. The wettest winter came off the 2009-2010 Moderate El Nino and most moderate to strong El Nino patterns bring the snow but not always cold weather with it. Weaker El Nino's tend to bring drier and somewhat cooler conditions.  The real key to this winter may come down to the exact track of the jet stream and this area could be in the battleground. Lake Effect off Lake Erie will be popping good in Late November and December.

HOW EL NINO WORKS

EL Nino world

After a long 4-year absence of El Nino we here at Liveweatherblogs.com are very confident we are heading into a weak to moderate El Nino. A weak to moderate El Nino for  the area means a variety of winter weather. We will see wild swings in temperatures throughout the winter. 

EL NINO

We have been in a neutral pattern since May of 2012 and before that we were in a La Nina period from June 2010 to April of 2012. The odds are in favor of an El Nino this winter and the chart below indicates that it will start over spring and summer.

So we looked over the last 50 years of El Nino winters and 8 were weak El Nino's, 4 were a moderate El Nino and 7 years were classified as a strong El Nino. We are placing a good deal of our forecast on El Nino this winter simply due that we feel it will be a moderate to maybe strong event.

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 BREAKING EL NINO STORIES RIGHT NOW

WHAT IS EL NINO? HOW DOES IT WORK? 

EL NINO 1997 VS. 2014...THE BIGGEST YET?

HURRICANES AND EL NINO...YES THEY CAN BE BIG 

EL NINO TO SLAM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

EL NINO WATCH 2014 NEW INFO

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CURRENT EL NINO CHANCES

MID JUNE

So we are thinking a MODERATE TO STRONG EL NINO with above average rainfall this winter.  Most of the severe weather will come later in the winter around February 

The biggest factor is El Nino followed by the track of the Southern Jet Stream. This track will decide on the rain, severe weather and even tornadoes so be ready for some of everything!

WHAT KIND OF EL NINO DO WE GET?

Screen Shot 2014-06-21 at 11.54.07 AM

OTHER OUTLOOKS

YOUR HOMETOWN WINTER OUTLOOK

 NATIONAL SUMMER OUTLOOK 2014

YOUR HOMETOWN SUMMER OUTLOOK HERE

factors

 ALTOONA WINTER SUMMARY 

We'll get a few summerlike days this winter esp. the first half of the winter. Expect the unexpected in this upcoming El Nino winter. Mild and sunny one week and chilly and wet the next. If you want variety in your winter weather this is the winter to follow. The winter will start warmer and drier than normal and end on the colder, wetter side in February maybe March.

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SNOWFALL

THIS WINTER 40.0"

AVERAGE SNOWFALL 31.7"

TEMPS...MILD START... COLDER FINISH!

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WANT MORE OUTLOOKS? 

THE LATEST EL NINO WATCH 2014

YOUR  SUMMER OUTLOOK 2014 

MORE PA CITIES FOR WINTER

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