I just watched a very good met, Lee Goldberg, he is saying Normal too above normal temps for two weeks, with a rainstorm next Friday. But then second half of January goes Cold and best chances for winter like weather, stormy'.
The models and tele's seem to concur with the idea of this lull period.
With the cold air and strong snowpack to our North, I am interested to see if that may alter/disrupt the life/strength of the warm up or produce icing events during any precip activity during this milder period in nearby elevation areas.
The possibilities for a winter revival are increased with that type of outlook with troughing in the East.
The pattern shift will arrive during the smack center of the coldest part of the season. With warm energy lurking along the southern tier and a trough set up this is our best scenario. When we get our winter snows they usually come in bunches after a warm period. Then they run the course, peter out then another regime takes over. The big snow winters I've witnessed seemed to end rapidly after they cycled out the storms and cold. I do have one exception, 1996, that year lingered into April with a persistent trough.