This group has the weekly, the 14 day, the monthly and seasonal outlooks for local, regional and national areas. We'll be updating this all the time so be sure to check back for your region and the timeframe you need.
We also cover seasonal, monthly and yearly outlooks for many cities throughout the USA.
Do you think Greater Lynchburg could end up with an inch of snow on the ground before the changeover to ice in the afternoon? I just hope the power doesn't go out. I'm also concerned about the roads. Thanks Dean
Forgetting the delicate balance, almost akin to a a choreographed dance, that has to exist for the Mid-Atlantic to get snow in early December, my backyard being CC Philly, I find it hard to believe anyone can seriously expect a white blanket until after this next batch of warm air is sent back where it belongs.
We have the use of good ole teleconnections to show us this warmup is coming, it's duration a complete unknown.
More upsetting to me is when you have a literal train track laid out for storms, more aptly stated as low pressure areas, riding the frontal boundary, and there isn't a nice Arctic air mass in place or Polar wind source setting up as a blocking high over The Canadian Maritimes. No, we get the dreaded GLC, the kiss of death to Mid-Atlantic snow.
Nothing like cold rain between 33 degrees and 36, with abundant moisture to ruin a snow lover's day.
I'll content myself to the La Nina game of delivering 1-2 storms which pass right over the benchmark , a Winter Storm in it's cyclogenesis expansion, when we are already in a below freezing regimen.
Don't get upset over the view that Texas gets snow. If interested, you can check out the historical snows there, and the synoptic set up for these snows. The comparison to our backyard is an example of fallacious reasoning.
In any event, we will have snow this Winter, and I am just as frustrated as others, but understand the that snow for the mid-Atlantic is always dependent on the position of the low, any block, the NAO, and the source of the cold air, fresh or stale. In other words, we aren't the Rockies or Minot, North Dakota.
But when we get hit, it can be record-breaking!
Yes I agree the models are now getting on the same track with pretty much everything except the CAD factor and how strong it may be. Some models may not even get it right. I remember countless times that CAD wasn't forecasted to be strong but the event turns out to be completely different so we will have to wait and see maybe this thing comes down to nowcasting to get it right. The storm is so complex on a precip stand point.